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Aval Data (TSE:6918) Beneish M-Score : -1.47 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Aval Data Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.47 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aval Data's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:6918' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.82   Med: -2.35   Max: -1.47
Current: -1.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aval Data was -1.47. The lowest was -2.82. And the median was -2.35.


Aval Data Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aval Data's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aval Data Beneish M-Score Chart

Aval Data Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.18 -2.52 -1.99 -1.47

Aval Data Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -1.47 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Aval Data's Beneish M-Score

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Aval Data's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aval Data's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Aval Data's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aval Data's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Aval Data Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aval Data for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0603+0.528 * 1.2153+0.404 * 0.7161+0.892 * 1.4691+0.115 * 1.0519
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.136534-0.327 * 1.3286
=-1.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円2,526 Mil.
Revenue was 円14,391 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円4,223 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円17,783 Mil.
Total Assets was 円27,951 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,926 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円103 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円5,019 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.
Net Income was 円4,271 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円454 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,622 Mil.
Revenue was 円9,796 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円3,494 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円12,564 Mil.
Total Assets was 円24,402 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,790 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円101 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円3,298 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2526.254 / 14390.751) / (1621.788 / 9795.833)
=0.175547 / 0.165559
=1.0603

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3493.644 / 9795.833) / (4223.281 / 14390.751)
=0.356646 / 0.293472
=1.2153

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17783.372 + 1926.239) / 27951.299) / (1 - (12564.313 + 1790.482) / 24402.014)
=0.294859 / 0.411737
=0.7161

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14390.751 / 9795.833
=1.4691

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(101.127 / (101.127 + 1790.482)) / (103.136 / (103.136 + 1926.239))
=0.053461 / 0.050822
=1.0519

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 14390.751) / (0 / 9795.833)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 5018.83) / 27951.299) / ((0 + 3297.83) / 24402.014)
=0.179556 / 0.135146
=1.3286

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4270.574 - 0 - 454.284) / 27951.299
=0.136534

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aval Data has a M-score of -1.47 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Aval Data Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Aval Data (TSE:6918) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Asahi-cho 1-chome 25-10, Machida-shi, Tokyo, JPN, 194-0023
Aval Data Corporation is engaged in manufacturing and selling of general communication equipment, industrial measuring instruments, electronic applied devices, and others. The company's products offerings include CPU, Single board, Image recording system, A/D conversion board, GiGA Channel, among others.

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