Toba (TSE:7472) Beneish M-Score: -2.97 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:7472 Toba Inc TSE:7472
65 GF Score
Price 円3,685.00
GF Value 円3,650.26
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Toba Beneish M-Score?

Toba TSE:7472 +2.36% 65 Beneish M-Score is -2.97 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7472 with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,650.26 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 151 Industrial Distribution companies, Toba ranks better than 84.77% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.97 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toba's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7472' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.97   Med: -2.53   Max: -2.03
Current: -2.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toba was -2.03. The lowest was -2.97. And the median was -2.53.


Toba Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toba's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toba Beneish M-Score Chart

Toba Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.56 -2.75 -2.03 -2.97

Toba Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.75 0.00 -2.03 0.00 -2.97

TSE:7472 vs GWW, FAST, FERG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Toba's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toba Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Toba's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toba's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:7472
65GF Score
Toba Inc TSE:7472
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toba Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toba for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7421+0.528 * 0.9756+0.404 * 1.2307+0.892 * 0.9207+0.115 * 0.9776
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.072606-0.327 * 0.768
=-2.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円6,230 Mil.
Revenue was 円29,061 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円4,442 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円20,885 Mil.
Total Assets was 円29,205 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,932 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円207 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円6,774 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.
Net Income was 円1,108 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円3,228 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円9,118 Mil.
Revenue was 円31,566 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円4,707 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円23,285 Mil.
Total Assets was 円30,729 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円1,982 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円207 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円9,281 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6229.629 / 29061.044) / (9118.141 / 31565.763)
=0.214364 / 0.288862
=0.7421

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4707.026 / 31565.763) / (4441.932 / 29061.044)
=0.149118 / 0.152848
=0.9756

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (20884.546 + 1931.898) / 29204.538) / (1 - (23284.672 + 1982.482) / 30728.579)
=0.218736 / 0.177731
=1.2307

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=29061.044 / 31565.763
=0.9207

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(207.153 / (207.153 + 1982.482)) / (206.99 / (206.99 + 1931.898))
=0.094606 / 0.096775
=0.9776

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 29061.044) / (0 / 31565.763)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 6773.996) / 29204.538) / ((0 + 9280.787) / 30728.579)
=0.23195 / 0.302025
=0.768

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1107.637 - 0 - 3228.052) / 29204.538
=-0.072606

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toba has a M-score of -2.97 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.97 mean?
Toba (TSE:7472) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.97 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toba and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toba ranks #23 out of 151 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, placing it in the top 15.2%.
Is Toba's Beneish M-Score too high?
Toba's current Beneish M-Score is -2.97. Based on the distribution chart, Toba ranks #23 out of 151 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Toba has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toba's Beneish M-Score compare to GWW and FAST?
According to the Industrial Distribution industry distribution chart, Toba ranks #23 out of 151 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Toba in the top 15% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Distribution company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Distribution industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toba and its competitors. Toba's current Beneish M-Score is -2.97. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toba stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toba (TSE:7472) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,650.26, compared to a current price of 円3,685.00 — trading 1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.97. Toba's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toba (TSE:7472), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.97 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toba (TSE:7472) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toba stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円3,685.00 is trading 1% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,650.26. GuruFocus considers Toba to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7472:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.97
  • GF Value™: 円3,650.26 vs. price of 円3,685.00 (1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7472 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toba Business Description

Address 8-6, Suido 2-chome, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 112 0005
Toba Inc is engaged in import, export, and sales of control machinery, industrial robots, measuring & instrumentation devices, electronic machinery, & chemicals. It also provides installation & related production facility efficiency consulting services. Its products include pneumatic/hydraulic cylinder, solenoid valve, coupler, hydraulic products, integrated gas system, Ionizer, conductive mat and tile, a hydro carbonic cleaning device and drain separator.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7472

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円3,685.00
Price
円3,650.26
GF Value