Oval (TSE:7727) Beneish M-Score: -2.67 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:7727 Oval Corp TSE:7727
75 GF Score
Price 円781.00
GF Value 円524.61
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Oval Beneish M-Score?

Oval TSE:7727 +0.13% 75 Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7727 with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of 円524.61 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 2,404 Hardware companies, Oval ranks better than 66.72% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oval's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7727' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.85   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.41
Current: -2.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Oval was -2.41. The lowest was -2.85. And the median was -2.60.


Oval Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Oval's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Oval Beneish M-Score Chart

Oval Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 -2.41 -2.50 -2.54 -2.67

Oval Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.67

TSE:7727 vs COHR, KEYS, GRMN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Oval's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oval Beneish M-Score vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Oval's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oval's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:7727
75GF Score
Oval Corp TSE:7727
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Oval Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Oval for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8485+0.528 * 0.9553+0.404 * 1.1623+0.892 * 1.0359+0.115 * 1.1137
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.02403-0.327 * 1.0746
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円3,677 Mil.
Revenue was 円15,589 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,650 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円12,426 Mil.
Total Assets was 円24,712 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円9,862 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円582 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,207 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,136 Mil.
Net Income was 円1,400 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円1,994 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円4,183 Mil.
Revenue was 円15,049 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円6,133 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円13,452 Mil.
Total Assets was 円24,494 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円8,975 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円594 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,555 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円374 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3677.17 / 15589.127) / (4183.302 / 15048.652)
=0.23588 / 0.277985
=0.8485

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6132.552 / 15048.652) / (6649.978 / 15589.127)
=0.407515 / 0.426578
=0.9553

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12425.86 + 9862.072) / 24711.625) / (1 - (13452.205 + 8974.573) / 24493.702)
=0.098079 / 0.084386
=1.1623

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15589.127 / 15048.652
=1.0359

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(594.184 / (594.184 + 8974.573)) / (582.352 / (582.352 + 9862.072))
=0.062096 / 0.055757
=1.1137

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 15589.127) / (0 / 15048.652)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1135.765 + 4207.241) / 24711.625) / ((373.659 + 4554.694) / 24493.702)
=0.216214 / 0.201209
=1.0746

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1400.102 - 0 - 1993.932) / 24711.625
=-0.02403

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Oval has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 mean?
Oval (TSE:7727) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.67 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Oval and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Oval ranks #800 out of 2404 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 33.3%.
Is Oval's Beneish M-Score too high?
Oval's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Based on the distribution chart, Oval ranks #800 out of 2404 companies in the Hardware industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Oval has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Oval's Beneish M-Score compare to COHR and KEYS?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, Oval ranks #800 out of 2404 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Oval in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Hardware company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Oval and its competitors. Oval's current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Oval stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Oval (TSE:7727) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円524.61, compared to a current price of 円781.00 — trading 48.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.67. Oval's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Oval (TSE:7727), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.67 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Oval (TSE:7727) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Oval stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円781.00 is trading 48.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円524.61. GuruFocus considers Oval to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7727:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.67
  • GF Value™: 円524.61 vs. price of 円781.00 (48.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7727 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Oval Business Description

Address 10-8, Kamiochiai 3-chome, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 161-8508
Oval Corp is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of OVAL gear PD and other types of flowmeters, metrological control equipment, and related systems, measuring devices and environmental control related instruments. Its flowmeters include Coriolis flowmeter, Vortex flowmeter, ultrasonic flowmeter. Electronic Instruments includes Totalizer, Batch counter, and Flow Computer.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7727

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円781.00
Price
円524.61
GF Value