Orvis (TSE:7827) Beneish M-Score: -2.69 (As of Jun. 30, 2026)


TSE:7827 Orvis Corp TSE:7827
69 GF Score
Price 円1,623.00
GF Value 円1,407.65
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Orvis Beneish M-Score?

Orvis TSE:7827 +0.50% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7827 with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,407.65 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 536 Conglomerates companies, Orvis ranks better than 69.4% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Orvis's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7827' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.43   Med: -2.51   Max: -2.13
Current: -2.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Orvis was -2.13. The lowest was -3.43. And the median was -2.51.


Orvis Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orvis's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orvis Beneish M-Score Chart

Orvis Annual Data
Trend Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.84 -2.48 -2.20 -2.69

Orvis Semi-Annual Data
Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23 Apr24 Oct24 Apr25 Oct25 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.20 0.00 -2.69 0.00

TSE:7827 vs HON, MMM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Orvis's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orvis Beneish M-Score vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Orvis's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orvis's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:7827
69GF Score
Orvis Corp TSE:7827
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orvis Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Orvis for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7838+0.528 * 1.0243+0.404 * 0.9151+0.892 * 1.1044+0.115 * 0.9501
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9569+4.679 * -0.020345-0.327 * 0.9636
=-2.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Oct25) TTM:Last Year (Oct24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,584 Mil.
Revenue was 円12,639 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円2,328 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円6,917 Mil.
Total Assets was 円12,587 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円5,367 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円619 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円467 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円2,998 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,530 Mil.
Net Income was 円422 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円678 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,830 Mil.
Revenue was 円11,444 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円2,159 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円6,376 Mil.
Total Assets was 円12,460 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円5,756 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円627 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円442 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円2,980 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,726 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1584.284 / 12639.123) / (1830.145 / 11444.106)
=0.125348 / 0.15992
=0.7838

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2158.91 / 11444.106) / (2327.705 / 12639.123)
=0.188648 / 0.184167
=1.0243

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6916.629 + 5366.628) / 12587.343) / (1 - (6375.531 + 5755.575) / 12460.028)
=0.024158 / 0.026398
=0.9151

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=12639.123 / 11444.106
=1.1044

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(626.815 / (626.815 + 5755.575)) / (618.678 / (618.678 + 5366.628))
=0.09821 / 0.103366
=0.9501

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(466.991 / 12639.123) / (441.876 / 11444.106)
=0.036948 / 0.038612
=0.9569

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3530.124 + 2997.858) / 12587.343) / ((3725.82 + 2980.044) / 12460.028)
=0.518615 / 0.53819
=0.9636

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(421.97 - 0 - 678.059) / 12587.343
=-0.020345

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Orvis has a M-score of -2.69 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 mean?
Orvis (TSE:7827) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orvis and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Orvis ranks #164 out of 536 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 30.6%.
Is Orvis' Beneish M-Score too high?
Orvis' current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. Based on the distribution chart, Orvis ranks #164 out of 536 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Orvis has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orvis' Beneish M-Score compare to HON and MMM?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Orvis ranks #164 out of 536 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Orvis in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Conglomerates company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Orvis and its competitors. Orvis's current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orvis stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orvis (TSE:7827) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,407.65, compared to a current price of 円1,623.00 — trading 15.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. Orvis' overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orvis (TSE:7827), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orvis (TSE:7827) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orvis stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,623.00 is trading 15.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,407.65. GuruFocus considers Orvis to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7827:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.69
  • GF Value™: 円1,407.65 vs. price of 円1,623.00 (15.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7827 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orvis Business Description

Address 6-10-1 Matsunagacho, Hiroshima Prefecture, Fukuyama, JPN, 729-0105
Orvis Corp is engaged in the manufacture and sale of packaging materials, prefabricated houses, leasing of temporary buildings, general construction and solar power generation system contracting, power generation business by natural energy, management of fitness clubs, and rental of real estate and trading.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7827

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,623.00
Price
円1,407.65
GF Value