Onward Holdings Co (TSE:8016) Beneish M-Score: -2.29 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSE:8016 Onward Holdings Co Ltd TSE:8016
76 GF Score
Price 円727.00
GF Value 円683.48
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Onward Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Onward Holdings Co TSE:8016 +0.55% 76 Beneish M-Score is -2.29 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8016 with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of 円683.48 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 1,001 Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories companies, Onward Holdings Co ranks worse than 64.84% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.29 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Onward Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8016' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.94   Med: -2.54   Max: -2.29
Current: -2.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Onward Holdings Co was -2.29. The lowest was -3.94. And the median was -2.54.


Onward Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Onward Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Onward Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Onward Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.59 -2.55 -2.34 -2.34 -2.29

Onward Holdings Co Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.29

TSE:8016 vs RL, LEVI, VFC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Onward Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Onward Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Onward Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Onward Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:8016
76GF Score
Onward Holdings Co Ltd TSE:8016
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Onward Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Onward Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0344+0.528 * 0.9972+0.404 * 0.9813+0.892 * 1.1363+0.115 * 0.8767
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0551+4.679 * 0.00975-0.327 * 0.941
=-2.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb26) TTM:Last Year (Feb25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円18,756 Mil.
Revenue was 円236,804 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円129,415 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円92,525 Mil.
Total Assets was 円189,223 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円43,418 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円5,590 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,826 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円68,661 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円17,435 Mil.
Net Income was 円10,094 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円8,249 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円15,957 Mil.
Revenue was 円208,393 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円113,575 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円80,101 Mil.
Total Assets was 円179,218 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円47,693 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円5,299 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円7,361 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円62,728 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円23,929 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(18756 / 236804) / (15957 / 208393)
=0.079205 / 0.076572
=1.0344

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(113575 / 208393) / (129415 / 236804)
=0.545004 / 0.546507
=0.9972

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (92525 + 43418) / 189223) / (1 - (80101 + 47693) / 179218)
=0.281573 / 0.286935
=0.9813

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=236804 / 208393
=1.1363

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5299 / (5299 + 47693)) / (5590 / (5590 + 43418))
=0.099996 / 0.114063
=0.8767

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8826 / 236804) / (7361 / 208393)
=0.037271 / 0.035323
=1.0551

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17435 + 68661) / 189223) / ((23929 + 62728) / 179218)
=0.454998 / 0.483528
=0.941

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(10094 - 0 - 8249) / 189223
=0.00975

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Onward Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.29 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.29 mean?
Onward Holdings Co (TSE:8016) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.29 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Onward Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Onward Holdings Co ranks #649 out of 1001 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, placing it in the top 64.8%.
Is Onward Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Onward Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. Based on the distribution chart, Onward Holdings Co ranks #649 out of 1001 companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Onward Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Onward Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to RL and LEVI?
According to the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry distribution chart, Onward Holdings Co ranks #649 out of 1001 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Onward Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Onward Holdings Co and its competitors. Onward Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Onward Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Onward Holdings Co (TSE:8016) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円683.48, compared to a current price of 円727.00 — trading 6.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.29. Onward Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Onward Holdings Co (TSE:8016), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.29 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Onward Holdings Co (TSE:8016) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Onward Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円727.00 is trading 6.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円683.48. GuruFocus considers Onward Holdings Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8016:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.29
  • GF Value™: 円683.48 vs. price of 円727.00 (6.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8016 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Onward Holdings Co Business Description

Address 10-5, Nihonbashi 3-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-8239
Onward Holdings Co Ltd manufactures and sells clothing, shoes, uniforms, bags, and other items. Women's clothing sales account for the majority of Onward's apparel revenue. The company's core brands include Nijyusanku, Kumikyoku, ICB, Jiyuku, J.Press, and Gotairiku. More than three-fourths of Onward's sales are through department stores. Remaining sales are through other retailers, directly managed stores, and e-commerce. More than three-fourths of Onward's sales are in Japan, and the majority of the company's remaining sales are in Europe. The company manufactures its products mainly in China.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8016

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円727.00
Price
円683.48
GF Value