Japan Pulp and Paper Co (TSE:8032) Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (As of Jul. 05, 2026)


TSE:8032 Japan Pulp and Paper Co Ltd TSE:8032
67 GF Score
Price 円1,108.00
GF Value 円757.08
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Japan Pulp and Paper Co Beneish M-Score?

Japan Pulp and Paper Co TSE:8032 +2.21% 67 Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8032 with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of 円757.08 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Japan Pulp and Paper Co ranks better than 71.79% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Japan Pulp and Paper Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8032' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.94   Med: -2.66   Max: -2.06
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Japan Pulp and Paper Co was -2.06. The lowest was -2.94. And the median was -2.66.


Japan Pulp and Paper Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Japan Pulp and Paper Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Japan Pulp and Paper Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Japan Pulp and Paper Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.06 -2.51 -2.64 -2.78

Japan Pulp and Paper Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.78

Japan Pulp and Paper Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Japan Pulp and Paper Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Japan Pulp and Paper Co Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Japan Pulp and Paper Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Japan Pulp and Paper Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:8032
67GF Score
Japan Pulp and Paper Co Ltd TSE:8032
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Japan Pulp and Paper Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Japan Pulp and Paper Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9033+0.528 * 0.9492+0.404 * 0.9682+0.892 * 1.0942+0.115 * 0.8402
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.05025-0.327 * 1.0182
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円139,007 Mil.
Revenue was 円606,779 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円105,442 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円240,495 Mil.
Total Assets was 円394,704 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円97,963 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円11,437 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円202,360 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円37,929 Mil.
Net Income was 円4,720 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円24,554 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円140,640 Mil.
Revenue was 円554,524 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円91,466 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円233,953 Mil.
Total Assets was 円392,234 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円100,554 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円9,683 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円192,050 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円42,477 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(139007 / 606779) / (140640 / 554524)
=0.22909 / 0.253623
=0.9033

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(91466 / 554524) / (105442 / 606779)
=0.164945 / 0.173773
=0.9492

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (240495 + 97963) / 394704) / (1 - (233953 + 100554) / 392234)
=0.142502 / 0.147175
=0.9682

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=606779 / 554524
=1.0942

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(9683 / (9683 + 100554)) / (11437 / (11437 + 97963))
=0.087838 / 0.104543
=0.8402

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 606779) / (0 / 554524)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((37929 + 202360) / 394704) / ((42477 + 192050) / 392234)
=0.608783 / 0.597926
=1.0182

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4720 - 0 - 24554) / 394704
=-0.05025

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Japan Pulp and Paper Co has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 mean?
Japan Pulp and Paper Co (TSE:8032) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Japan Pulp and Paper Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Japan Pulp and Paper Co ranks #77 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 28.2%.
Is Japan Pulp and Paper Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Japan Pulp and Paper Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Based on the distribution chart, Japan Pulp and Paper Co ranks #77 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Japan Pulp and Paper Co has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Japan Pulp and Paper Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Japan Pulp and Paper Co ranks #77 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Japan Pulp and Paper Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Japan Pulp and Paper Co and its competitors. Japan Pulp and Paper Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Japan Pulp and Paper Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Pulp and Paper Co (TSE:8032) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円757.08, compared to a current price of 円1,108.00 — trading 46.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Japan Pulp and Paper Co's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Japan Pulp and Paper Co (TSE:8032), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Japan Pulp and Paper Co (TSE:8032) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Japan Pulp and Paper Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,108.00 is trading 46.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円757.08. GuruFocus considers Japan Pulp and Paper Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8032:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.78
  • GF Value™: 円757.08 vs. price of 円1,108.00 (46.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8032 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Japan Pulp and Paper Co Business Description

Address Forefront Tower, 3-12-1 Kachidoki, Chuo-Ku, Tokyo, JPN, 1048656
Japan Pulp and Paper Co Ltd engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of pulp, paper-related products, and plastic, among others. Also, the company is involved in real estate leasing and generation and sale of electricity.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8032

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,108.00
Price
円757.08
GF Value