Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219) Beneish M-Score: -2.49 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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TSE:8219 Aoyama Trading Co Ltd TSE:8219
71 GF Score
Price 円707.00
GF Value 円649.24
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Aoyama Trading Co Beneish M-Score?

Aoyama Trading Co TSE:8219 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8219 with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of 円649.24 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,083 Retail - Cyclical companies, Aoyama Trading Co ranks worse than 57.8% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.49 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aoyama Trading Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8219' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.87   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.45
Current: -2.49

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aoyama Trading Co was -2.45. The lowest was -2.87. And the median was -2.62.


Aoyama Trading Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aoyama Trading Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aoyama Trading Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Aoyama Trading Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 -2.81 -2.47 -2.53 -2.49

Aoyama Trading Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.49

TSE:8219 vs TJX, ROST, BURL: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Aoyama Trading Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aoyama Trading Co Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Aoyama Trading Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aoyama Trading Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:8219
71GF Score
Aoyama Trading Co Ltd TSE:8219
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aoyama Trading Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aoyama Trading Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0535+0.528 * 0.9895+0.404 * 1.0251+0.892 * 0.9658+0.115 * 1.0245
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.010052-0.327 * 0.9619
=-2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円72,039 Mil.
Revenue was 円189,011 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円98,172 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円179,681 Mil.
Total Assets was 円306,096 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円85,432 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,663 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円57,309 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円57,501 Mil.
Net Income was 円6,918 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円9,995 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円70,808 Mil.
Revenue was 円195,714 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円100,586 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円193,876 Mil.
Total Assets was 円318,404 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円82,943 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円7,639 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円68,710 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円55,446 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(72039 / 189011) / (70808 / 195714)
=0.381137 / 0.361793
=1.0535

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(100586 / 195714) / (98172 / 189011)
=0.513944 / 0.519398
=0.9895

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (179681 + 85432) / 306096) / (1 - (193876 + 82943) / 318404)
=0.133889 / 0.130605
=1.0251

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=189011 / 195714
=0.9658

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7639 / (7639 + 82943)) / (7663 / (7663 + 85432))
=0.084332 / 0.082314
=1.0245

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 189011) / (0 / 195714)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((57501 + 57309) / 306096) / ((55446 + 68710) / 318404)
=0.375078 / 0.389932
=0.9619

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6918 - 0 - 9995) / 306096
=-0.010052

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aoyama Trading Co has a M-score of -2.49 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 mean?
Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.49 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aoyama Trading Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aoyama Trading Co ranks #626 out of 1083 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 57.8%.
Is Aoyama Trading Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Aoyama Trading Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Based on the distribution chart, Aoyama Trading Co ranks #626 out of 1083 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Aoyama Trading Co has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aoyama Trading Co's Beneish M-Score compare to TJX and ROST?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Aoyama Trading Co ranks #626 out of 1083 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Aoyama Trading Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aoyama Trading Co and its competitors. Aoyama Trading Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aoyama Trading Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円649.24, compared to a current price of 円707.00 — trading 8.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.49. Aoyama Trading Co's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.49 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aoyama Trading Co (TSE:8219) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aoyama Trading Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円707.00 is trading 8.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円649.24. GuruFocus considers Aoyama Trading Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8219:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.49
  • GF Value™: 円649.24 vs. price of 円707.00 (8.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8219 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aoyama Trading Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 9B7:Germany
Address 1-3-5 Ojimachi, Hiroshima Prefecture, Fukuyama, JPN, 721-8556
Aoyama Trading Co Ltd is an apparel retailer specializing in business wear. Men's business wear accounts for roughly two thirds of the company's total sales, while women's business wear accounts for roughly 10%. Business wear stores include Yofuku-no-Aoyama, which is the company's primary brand and has nearly 800 locations; The Suit Company; and Next Blue. Other business segments include casual wear, with store brands including Universal Language and Calaja; credit cards; printing and media; and total repair service, which includes the company's Mister Minit stores, providing repair services such as shoe repair and key duplication. Aoyama's sales are primarily in Japan, but the firm has business throughout the Asia-Pacific region.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8219

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円707.00
Price
円649.24
GF Value