Toyo Securities Co (TSE:8614) Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


TSE:8614 Toyo Securities Co Ltd TSE:8614
66 GF Score
Price 円610.00
GF Value 円658.53
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Toyo Securities Co Beneish M-Score?

Toyo Securities Co TSE:8614 +0.33% 66 Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8614 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円658.53 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 704 Capital Markets companies, Toyo Securities Co ranks worse than 56.82% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toyo Securities Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8614' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.5   Max: 5.39
Current: -1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Toyo Securities Co was 5.39. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.50.


Toyo Securities Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toyo Securities Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toyo Securities Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Toyo Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.99 -2.91 -1.64 -2.80 -1.99

Toyo Securities Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.15 -1.67 -1.87 -1.99

TSE:8614 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Toyo Securities Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toyo Securities Co Beneish M-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Toyo Securities Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toyo Securities Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:8614
66GF Score
Toyo Securities Co Ltd TSE:8614
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toyo Securities Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Toyo Securities Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0903+0.528 * 1.0008+0.404 * 0.9488+0.892 * 1.2025+0.115 * 0.6695
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7861+4.679 * 0.054719-0.327 * 1.0148
=-1.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,513 Mil.
Revenue was 3723 + 3648 + 3387 + 2816 = 円13,574 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3617 + 3562 + 3298 + 2734 = 円13,211 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円56,246 Mil.
Total Assets was 円71,950 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,752 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円240 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,287 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円36,695 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円1,448 Mil.
Net Income was 1252 + 1203 + 1122 + 360 = 円3,937 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円1,154 Mil.
Revenue was 2702 + 3031 + 2614 + 2941 = 円11,288 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2623 + 2952 + 2541 + 2879 = 円10,995 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円53,473 Mil.
Total Assets was 円69,387 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円2,749 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円156 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円3,477 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円31,443 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円4,805 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1513 / 13574) / (1154 / 11288)
=0.111463 / 0.102232
=1.0903

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10995 / 11288) / (13211 / 13574)
=0.974043 / 0.973258
=1.0008

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (56246 + 2752) / 71950) / (1 - (53473 + 2749) / 69387)
=0.180014 / 0.189733
=0.9488

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13574 / 11288
=1.2025

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(156 / (156 + 2749)) / (240 / (240 + 2752))
=0.053701 / 0.080214
=0.6695

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3287 / 13574) / (3477 / 11288)
=0.242154 / 0.308026
=0.7861

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1448 + 36695) / 71950) / ((4805 + 31443) / 69387)
=0.530132 / 0.522403
=1.0148

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3937 - 0 - 0) / 71950
=0.054719

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Toyo Securities Co has a M-score of -1.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 mean?
Toyo Securities Co (TSE:8614) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toyo Securities Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Toyo Securities Co ranks #400 out of 704 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 56.8%.
Is Toyo Securities Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Toyo Securities Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Based on the distribution chart, Toyo Securities Co ranks #400 out of 704 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Toyo Securities Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toyo Securities Co's Beneish M-Score compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Toyo Securities Co ranks #400 out of 704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Toyo Securities Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Capital Markets company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Toyo Securities Co and its competitors. Toyo Securities Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toyo Securities Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toyo Securities Co (TSE:8614) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円658.53, compared to a current price of 円610.00 — trading 7.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Toyo Securities Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toyo Securities Co (TSE:8614), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toyo Securities Co (TSE:8614) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toyo Securities Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円610.00 is trading 7.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円658.53. GuruFocus considers Toyo Securities Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8614:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.99
  • GF Value™: 円658.53 vs. price of 円610.00 (7.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8614 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toyo Securities Co Business Description

Address 7-1 Hacchobori 4-Chome, Chuo-Ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-8678
Toyo Securities Co Ltd is a Japan-based company engaged in the securities business. The company provides the variety of financial services such as dealing, brokerage, underwriting, public offering and distribution of securities. In addition, it also offers asset management, advice and consultancy services, insurance products, as well as provision of internet and phone trading services.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8614

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円610.00
Price
円658.53
GF Value