Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (TSE:8616) Beneish M-Score: -2.44 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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TSE:8616 Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Inc TSE:8616
72 GF Score
Price 円774.00
GF Value 円627.65
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings TSE:8616 -0.26% 72 Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:8616 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of 円627.65 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 704 Capital Markets companies, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks better than 62.07% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.44 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8616' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.14   Med: -2.37   Max: 7.24
Current: -2.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings was 7.24. The lowest was -3.14. And the median was -2.37.


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.29 -3.14 -1.91 -2.58 -2.44

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.44

TSE:8616 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:8616
72GF Score
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Inc TSE:8616
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8671+0.528 * 1.0243+0.404 * 0.9797+0.892 * 1.1319+0.115 * 0.9684
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9333+4.679 * 0.007752-0.327 * 1.0013
=-2.44

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円520,252 Mil.
Revenue was 円97,715 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円91,920 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,434,585 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,526,284 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円10,287 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円3,979 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円9,202 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,128,772 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円180,200 Mil.
Net Income was 円16,569 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円4,737 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円530,087 Mil.
Revenue was 円86,327 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円83,182 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,322,176 Mil.
Total Assets was 円1,409,429 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円10,520 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円3,893 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,711 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円1,041,128 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円165,999 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(520252 / 97715) / (530087 / 86327)
=5.324177 / 6.140454
=0.8671

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(83182 / 86327) / (91920 / 97715)
=0.963569 / 0.940695
=1.0243

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1434585 + 10287) / 1526284) / (1 - (1322176 + 10520) / 1409429)
=0.05334 / 0.054443
=0.9797

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=97715 / 86327
=1.1319

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3893 / (3893 + 10520)) / (3979 / (3979 + 10287))
=0.270103 / 0.278915
=0.9684

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(9202 / 97715) / (8711 / 86327)
=0.094172 / 0.100907
=0.9333

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((180200 + 1128772) / 1526284) / ((165999 + 1041128) / 1409429)
=0.85762 / 0.856465
=1.0013

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(16569 - 0 - 4737) / 1526284
=0.007752

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has a M-score of -2.44 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 mean?
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (TSE:8616) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.44 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks #267 out of 704 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 37.9%.
Is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Based on the distribution chart, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks #267 out of 704 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings ranks #267 out of 704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Capital Markets company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings and its competitors. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (TSE:8616) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円627.65, compared to a current price of 円774.00 — trading 23.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.44. Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (TSE:8616), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.44 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings (TSE:8616) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円774.00 is trading 23.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円627.65. GuruFocus considers Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8616:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.44
  • GF Value™: 円627.65 vs. price of 円774.00 (23.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8616 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges TO91:Germany
Address 6-2, Nihonbashi 3-chome, Chuo-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-0027
Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings Inc. is the holding company of the Tokai Tokyo Financial Group. It operates and manages the group's companies. Tokai Tokyo Financial Group consists primarily of companies in Japan, but a few are in overseas markets. Tokyo Securities is the operating nucleus of the group and manages financial instruments businesses, fund management, back-office services, and research. For the overall group, operations are divided into trading activities and commissions. Tokai's commissions are gained through brokerage services and underwriting and distribution.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8616

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円774.00
Price
円627.65
GF Value