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Chichibu Railway Co Ltd TSE:9012
Chichibu Railway Co TSE:9012 -0.33% 63 Beneish M-Score is -1.10 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9012 with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,317.06 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Chichibu Railway Co ranks worse than 91.1% on this metric.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Warning Sign:
Beneish M-Score -1.1 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.
The historical rank and industry rank for Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chichibu Railway Co was -1.10. The lowest was -3.84. And the median was -2.32.
The historical data trend for Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| Chichibu Railway Co Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Trend | Mar17 | Mar18 | Mar19 | Mar20 | Mar21 | Mar22 | Mar23 | Mar24 | Mar25 | Mar26 | |||||||||||
| Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-3.01 | -3.84 | -2.69 | -2.26 | -1.10 | |||||||||||||
| Chichibu Railway Co Semi-Annual Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sep16 | Mar17 | Sep17 | Mar18 | Sep18 | Mar19 | Sep19 | Mar20 | Sep20 | Mar21 | Sep21 | Mar22 | Sep22 | Mar23 | Sep23 | Mar24 | Sep24 | Mar25 | Sep25 | Mar26 | |
| Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-2.69 | 0.00 | -2.26 | 0.00 | -1.10 | ||
For the Railroads subindustry, Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Chichibu Railway Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 2.342 | + | 0.528 * 0.9052 | + | 0.404 * 1.3011 | + | 0.892 * 1.0685 | + | 0.115 * 1.0162 | |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
| - | 0.172 * 1 | + | 4.679 * 0.004103 | - | 0.327 * 1.0163 | |||||||
| = | -1.10 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Mar26) TTM: | Last Year (Mar25) TTM: |
| Total Receivables was 円1,092 Mil. Revenue was 円5,638 Mil. Gross Profit was 円1,858 Mil. Total Current Assets was 円2,453 Mil. Total Assets was 円17,694 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円14,986 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円201 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was 円4,613 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,177 Mil. Net Income was 円383 Mil. Gross Profit was 円0 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 円311 Mil. |
Total Receivables was 円436 Mil. Revenue was 円5,276 Mil. Gross Profit was 円1,574 Mil. Total Current Assets was 円2,031 Mil. Total Assets was 円16,900 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円14,681 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円201 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was 円3,989 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,333 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (1091.634 / 5637.702) | / | (436.232 / 5276.389) | |
| = | 0.193631 | / | 0.082676 | |
| = | 2.342 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
| = | (1574.019 / 5276.389) | / | (1858.005 / 5637.702) | |
| = | 0.298314 | / | 0.329568 | |
| = | 0.9052 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (2452.585 + 14985.842) / 17694.366) | / | (1 - (2030.781 + 14681.167) / 16899.816) | |
| = | 0.014464 | / | 0.011117 | |
| = | 1.3011 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
| = | 5637.702 | / | 5276.389 | |
| = | 1.0685 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (200.627 / (200.627 + 14681.167)) | / | (201.474 / (201.474 + 14985.842)) | |
| = | 0.013481 | / | 0.013266 | |
| = | 1.0162 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (0 / 5637.702) | / | (0 / 5276.389) | |
| = | 0 | / | 0 | |
| = | 1 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((3177.109 + 4613.3) / 17694.366) | / | ((3332.599 + 3988.936) / 16899.816) | |
| = | 0.440276 | / | 0.433232 | |
| = | 1.0163 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
| = | (383.26 - 0 | - | 310.654) | / | 17694.366 | |
| = | 0.004103 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Chichibu Railway Co has a M-score of -1.10 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chichibu Railway Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円2,100.00 is trading 9.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,317.06. GuruFocus considers Chichibu Railway Co to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for TSE:9012:
No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9012 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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