Chichibu Railway Co (TSE:9012) Beneish M-Score: -1.10 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


TSE:9012 Chichibu Railway Co Ltd TSE:9012
63 GF Score
Price 円2,100.00
GF Value 円2,317.06
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Chichibu Railway Co Beneish M-Score?

Chichibu Railway Co TSE:9012 -0.33% 63 Beneish M-Score is -1.10 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9012 with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,317.06 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Chichibu Railway Co ranks worse than 91.1% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.1 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9012' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.84   Med: -2.32   Max: -1.1
Current: -1.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chichibu Railway Co was -1.10. The lowest was -3.84. And the median was -2.32.


Chichibu Railway Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chichibu Railway Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Chichibu Railway Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -3.84 -2.69 -2.26 -1.10

Chichibu Railway Co Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 0.00 -2.26 0.00 -1.10

TSE:9012 vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chichibu Railway Co Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9012
63GF Score
Chichibu Railway Co Ltd TSE:9012
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chichibu Railway Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chichibu Railway Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.342+0.528 * 0.9052+0.404 * 1.3011+0.892 * 1.0685+0.115 * 1.0162
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.004103-0.327 * 1.0163
=-1.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円1,092 Mil.
Revenue was 円5,638 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,858 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,453 Mil.
Total Assets was 円17,694 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円14,986 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円201 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円4,613 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,177 Mil.
Net Income was 円383 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円311 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円436 Mil.
Revenue was 円5,276 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円1,574 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円2,031 Mil.
Total Assets was 円16,900 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円14,681 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円201 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円3,989 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,333 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1091.634 / 5637.702) / (436.232 / 5276.389)
=0.193631 / 0.082676
=2.342

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1574.019 / 5276.389) / (1858.005 / 5637.702)
=0.298314 / 0.329568
=0.9052

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2452.585 + 14985.842) / 17694.366) / (1 - (2030.781 + 14681.167) / 16899.816)
=0.014464 / 0.011117
=1.3011

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5637.702 / 5276.389
=1.0685

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(200.627 / (200.627 + 14681.167)) / (201.474 / (201.474 + 14985.842))
=0.013481 / 0.013266
=1.0162

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 5637.702) / (0 / 5276.389)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3177.109 + 4613.3) / 17694.366) / ((3332.599 + 3988.936) / 16899.816)
=0.440276 / 0.433232
=1.0163

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(383.26 - 0 - 310.654) / 17694.366
=0.004103

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chichibu Railway Co has a M-score of -1.10 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.10 mean?
Chichibu Railway Co (TSE:9012) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.10 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chichibu Railway Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Chichibu Railway Co ranks #880 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 91.1%.
Is Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Chichibu Railway Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.10. Based on the distribution chart, Chichibu Railway Co ranks #880 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Chichibu Railway Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chichibu Railway Co's Beneish M-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Chichibu Railway Co ranks #880 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Chichibu Railway Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Chichibu Railway Co and its competitors. Chichibu Railway Co's current Beneish M-Score is -1.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chichibu Railway Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chichibu Railway Co (TSE:9012) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,317.06, compared to a current price of 円2,100.00 — trading 9.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.10. Chichibu Railway Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chichibu Railway Co (TSE:9012), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.10 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chichibu Railway Co (TSE:9012) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chichibu Railway Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円2,100.00 is trading 9.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,317.06. GuruFocus considers Chichibu Railway Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9012:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.10
  • GF Value™: 円2,317.06 vs. price of 円2,100.00 (9.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9012 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chichibu Railway Co Business Description

Address 1, Atsukicho, Kumagaya-shi, Kumagaya, JPN, 360-00331
Chichibu Railway Co Ltd operates real estate business, tourism business, bus business, and other businesses, mainly in the railway business.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9012

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,100.00
Price
円2,317.06
GF Value