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Novarese (TSE:9160) Beneish M-Score : -2.52 (As of Apr. 06, 2025)


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What is Novarese Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novarese's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9160' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.52   Med: -2.12   Max: -0.88
Current: -2.52

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Novarese was -0.88. The lowest was -2.52. And the median was -2.12.


Novarese Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Novarese's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Novarese Beneish M-Score Chart

Novarese Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.04 -1.95 -2.09 -0.88 -2.47

Novarese Quarterly Data
Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -2.47 - -2.52

Competitive Comparison of Novarese's Beneish M-Score

For the Personal Services subindustry, Novarese's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novarese's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Personal Services Industry

For the Personal Services industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Novarese's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novarese's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Novarese Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Novarese for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3401+0.528 * 1.0175+0.404 * 0.9273+0.892 * 1.0202+0.115 * 0.5149
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0287+4.679 * -0.063109-0.327 * 0.9949
=-2.52

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円348 Mil.
Revenue was 4921.223 + 3696.322 + 6106.93 + 3907.131 = 円18,632 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2847.666 + 1948.876 + 3602.811 + 2042.401 = 円10,442 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円3,464 Mil.
Total Assets was 円33,885 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円16,419 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円2,431 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,835 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円16,900 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円2,403 Mil.
Net Income was 394.735 + -259.856 + 1033.832 + -162.925 = 円1,006 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 915.309 + -39.617 + 1614.512 + 654.041 = 円3,144 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円255 Mil.
Revenue was 4774.832 + 3330.09 + 6025.593 + 4131.935 = 円18,262 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2707.719 + 1691.694 + 3652.33 + 2361.778 = 円10,414 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円1,208 Mil.
Total Assets was 円30,965 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円15,959 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円1,135 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円8,419 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円7,594 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円10,137 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(348.167 / 18631.606) / (254.652 / 18262.45)
=0.018687 / 0.013944
=1.3401

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10413.521 / 18262.45) / (10441.754 / 18631.606)
=0.570215 / 0.560432
=1.0175

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3463.956 + 16418.629) / 33885.1) / (1 - (1208.053 + 15958.762) / 30965.184)
=0.413235 / 0.445609
=0.9273

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18631.606 / 18262.45
=1.0202

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1135.161 / (1135.161 + 15958.762)) / (2431.136 / (2431.136 + 16418.629))
=0.066407 / 0.128974
=0.5149

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8835.151 / 18631.606) / (8418.715 / 18262.45)
=0.474202 / 0.460985
=1.0287

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2403.265 + 16899.851) / 33885.1) / ((10136.604 + 7593.71) / 30965.184)
=0.569664 / 0.572589
=0.9949

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1005.786 - 0 - 3144.245) / 33885.1
=-0.063109

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Novarese has a M-score of -2.52 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Novarese Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Novarese Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1-8-14 Ginza, Chuo-ku, Ginza YOMIKO Building 4th Floor, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0061
Novarese Inc offers 'Guest House' wedding services. The Company provides rental services for wedding clothing and accessories and operates restaurant business including wedding-food catering services.

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