Keiyo Gas Co (TSE:9539) Beneish M-Score: -2.73 (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

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TSE:9539 Keiyo Gas Co Ltd TSE:9539
66 GF Score
Price 円1,476.00
GF Value 円889.63
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Keiyo Gas Co Beneish M-Score?

Keiyo Gas Co TSE:9539 -1.53% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.73 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9539 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円889.63 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 487 Utilities - Regulated companies, Keiyo Gas Co ranks better than 68.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.73 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Keiyo Gas Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9539' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.78   Max: -2.03
Current: -2.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Keiyo Gas Co was -2.03. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.78.


Keiyo Gas Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Keiyo Gas Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Keiyo Gas Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Keiyo Gas Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.03 -3.42 -2.53 -2.73

Keiyo Gas Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.73 0.00

TSE:9539 vs ATO, NI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Keiyo Gas Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Keiyo Gas Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Keiyo Gas Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Keiyo Gas Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9539
66GF Score
Keiyo Gas Co Ltd TSE:9539
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Keiyo Gas Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Keiyo Gas Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0092+0.528 * 0.9455+0.404 * 1.0651+0.892 * 1.0169+0.115 * 1.027
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9903+4.679 * -0.058909-0.327 * 0.9856
=-2.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円12,318 Mil.
Revenue was 円117,665 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円37,613 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円37,888 Mil.
Total Assets was 円178,053 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円87,264 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円10,351 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円33,773 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円25,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円27,895 Mil.
Net Income was 円3,210 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円13,699 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円12,002 Mil.
Revenue was 円115,704 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円34,972 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円35,768 Mil.
Total Assets was 円168,250 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円85,551 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円10,455 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円33,537 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円26,118 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円24,625 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(12318 / 117665) / (12002 / 115704)
=0.104687 / 0.10373
=1.0092

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(34972 / 115704) / (37613 / 117665)
=0.302254 / 0.319662
=0.9455

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (37888 + 87264) / 178053) / (1 - (35768 + 85551) / 168250)
=0.297108 / 0.278936
=1.0651

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=117665 / 115704
=1.0169

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(10455 / (10455 + 85551)) / (10351 / (10351 + 87264))
=0.108899 / 0.106039
=1.027

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(33773 / 117665) / (33537 / 115704)
=0.287027 / 0.289852
=0.9903

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((27895 + 25033) / 178053) / ((24625 + 26118) / 168250)
=0.29726 / 0.301593
=0.9856

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3210 - 0 - 13699) / 178053
=-0.058909

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Keiyo Gas Co has a M-score of -2.73 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.73 mean?
Keiyo Gas Co (TSE:9539) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.73 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Keiyo Gas Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Keiyo Gas Co ranks #153 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 31.4%.
Is Keiyo Gas Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Keiyo Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.73. Based on the distribution chart, Keiyo Gas Co ranks #153 out of 487 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Keiyo Gas Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Keiyo Gas Co's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Keiyo Gas Co ranks #153 out of 487 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Keiyo Gas Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Keiyo Gas Co and its competitors. Keiyo Gas Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Keiyo Gas Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Keiyo Gas Co (TSE:9539) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円889.63, compared to a current price of 円1,476.00 — trading 65.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.73. Keiyo Gas Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Keiyo Gas Co (TSE:9539), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.73 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Keiyo Gas Co (TSE:9539) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Keiyo Gas Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,476.00 is trading 65.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円889.63. GuruFocus considers Keiyo Gas Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9539:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.73
  • GF Value™: 円889.63 vs. price of 円1,476.00 (65.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9539 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Keiyo Gas Co Business Description

Address 2-8-8 Minami Ichikawa, Chiba Prefecture, Ichikawa, JPN, 272-8580
Keiyo Gas Co Ltd is engaged in gas business. The company produces, process and sells gas byproducts. It is also engaged in production, sales, rental, installation, repair, maintenance and management of gas appliances, kitchen equipment, water supply, and drainage equipment, air conditioning equipment and housing equipment.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9539

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,476.00
Price
円889.63
GF Value