Aseed Holdings Co (TSE:9959) Beneish M-Score: -2.54 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


TSE:9959 Aseed Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9959
66 GF Score
Price 円915.00
GF Value 円706.88
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Aseed Holdings Co Beneish M-Score?

Aseed Holdings Co TSE:9959 +0.11% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.54 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:9959 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円706.88 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 109 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, Aseed Holdings Co ranks better than 53.21% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.54 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aseed Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9959' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.55   Max: -2.46
Current: -2.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Aseed Holdings Co was -2.46. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.55.


Aseed Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Aseed Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Aseed Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Aseed Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 -2.47 -2.46 -2.47 -2.54

Aseed Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.54

TSE:9959 vs KO, PEP, MNST: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Aseed Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aseed Holdings Co Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Aseed Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aseed Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSE:9959
66GF Score
Aseed Holdings Co Ltd TSE:9959
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Aseed Holdings Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Aseed Holdings Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0998+0.528 * 0.9931+0.404 * 1.065+0.892 * 1.0601+0.115 * 1.0625
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.043984-0.327 * 1.0748
=-2.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was 円4,119 Mil.
Revenue was 円25,409 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円9,723 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円10,139 Mil.
Total Assets was 円24,145 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円10,704 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円857 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円10,483 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円5,355 Mil.
Net Income was 円909 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 円1,971 Mil.
Total Receivables was 円3,533 Mil.
Revenue was 円23,969 Mil.
Gross Profit was 円9,109 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円7,505 Mil.
Total Assets was 円19,655 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was 円9,626 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was 円823 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was 円0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円8,575 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was 円3,420 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4119 / 25409) / (3533 / 23969)
=0.162108 / 0.147399
=1.0998

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9109 / 23969) / (9723 / 25409)
=0.380033 / 0.38266
=0.9931

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10139 + 10704) / 24145) / (1 - (7505 + 9626) / 19655)
=0.136757 / 0.128415
=1.065

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25409 / 23969
=1.0601

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(823 / (823 + 9626)) / (857 / (857 + 10704))
=0.078764 / 0.074129
=1.0625

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 25409) / (0 / 23969)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5355 + 10483) / 24145) / ((3420 + 8575) / 19655)
=0.655954 / 0.610277
=1.0748

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(909 - 0 - 1971) / 24145
=-0.043984

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Aseed Holdings Co has a M-score of -2.54 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.54 mean?
Aseed Holdings Co (TSE:9959) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.54 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aseed Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Aseed Holdings Co ranks #51 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 46.8%.
Is Aseed Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Aseed Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. Based on the distribution chart, Aseed Holdings Co ranks #51 out of 109 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Aseed Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Aseed Holdings Co's Beneish M-Score compare to KO and PEP?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Aseed Holdings Co ranks #51 out of 109 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Aseed Holdings Co in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Aseed Holdings Co and its competitors. Aseed Holdings Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Aseed Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aseed Holdings Co (TSE:9959) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円706.88, compared to a current price of 円915.00 — trading 29.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.54. Aseed Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Aseed Holdings Co (TSE:9959), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.54 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Aseed Holdings Co (TSE:9959) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Aseed Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円915.00 is trading 29.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円706.88. GuruFocus considers Aseed Holdings Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9959:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.54
  • GF Value™: 円706.88 vs. price of 円915.00 (29.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9959 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Aseed Holdings Co Business Description

Address No. 23, No. 7 Funamachi, Fukuyama, JPN, 720-0043
Aseed Holdings Co Ltd is a holding company engaged in the business of vending machine operations and retail business, beverage manufacturing business, beverage service system business, and real estate management business. It manages and maintains vending machines for paper cup beverages, canned and bottled beverages, paper-pack beverages, snacks, and others.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9959

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円915.00
Price
円706.88
GF Value