Cascades (TSX:CAS) Beneish M-Score: 13.12 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TSX:CAS Cascades Inc TSX:CAS
61 GF Score
Price C$11.81
GF Value C$221.00
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Cascades Beneish M-Score?

Cascades TSX:CAS +1.55% 61 Beneish M-Score is 13.12 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:CAS with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of C$221.00 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 373 Packaging & Containers companies, Cascades ranks worse than 99.2% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 13.12 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cascades's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:CAS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.25   Med: -2.78   Max: 13.12
Current: 13.12

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Cascades was 13.12. The lowest was -3.25. And the median was -2.78.


Cascades Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cascades's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cascades Beneish M-Score Chart

Cascades Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.25 -2.49 -3.04 -2.67 -2.81

Cascades Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.63 -2.70 -2.71 -2.81 13.12

TSX:CAS vs SW, PKG, AMCR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Cascades's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cascades Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cascades's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cascades's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:CAS
61GF Score
Cascades Inc TSX:CAS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Cascades Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Cascades for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.0467+0.528 * 0.41+0.404 * 0.9686+0.892 * 19.9635+0.115 * 0.9233
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.0494+4.679 * -0.060945-0.327 * 0.9561
=13.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$456 Mil.
Revenue was 91125 + 1197 + 1238 + 1187 = C$94,747 Mil.
Gross Profit was 90446 + 495 + 494 + 485 = C$91,920 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,226 Mil.
Total Assets was C$4,742 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$2,633 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$289 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$1,083 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$802 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$1,908 Mil.
Net Income was 39 + 37 + 29 + -3 = C$102 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -13 + -23 + 3 + -25 = C$-58 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 18 + 183 + 181 + 67 = C$449 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$489 Mil.
Revenue was 1154 + 1211 + 1201 + 1180 = C$4,746 Mil.
Gross Profit was 475 + 490 + 465 + 458 = C$1,888 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,254 Mil.
Total Assets was C$5,051 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$2,826 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$284 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$1,099 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,146 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$1,873 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(456 / 94747) / (489 / 4746)
=0.004813 / 0.103034
=0.0467

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1888 / 4746) / (91920 / 94747)
=0.397809 / 0.970163
=0.41

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1226 + 2633) / 4742) / (1 - (1254 + 2826) / 5051)
=0.186208 / 0.192239
=0.9686

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=94747 / 4746
=19.9635

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(284 / (284 + 2826)) / (289 / (289 + 2633))
=0.091318 / 0.098905
=0.9233

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1083 / 94747) / (1099 / 4746)
=0.01143 / 0.231563
=0.0494

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1908 + 802) / 4742) / ((1873 + 1146) / 5051)
=0.571489 / 0.597703
=0.9561

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(102 - -58 - 449) / 4742
=-0.060945

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Cascades has a M-score of 13.12 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 13.12 mean?
Cascades (TSX:CAS) has a Beneish M-Score of 13.12 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Cascades and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Cascades ranks #370 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 99.2%.
Is Cascades' Beneish M-Score too high?
Cascades' current Beneish M-Score is 13.12. Based on the distribution chart, Cascades ranks #370 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Cascades has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cascades' Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Cascades ranks #370 out of 373 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Cascades in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Cascades and its competitors. Cascades's current Beneish M-Score is 13.12. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cascades stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cascades (TSX:CAS) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is C$221.00, compared to a current price of C$11.81 — trading 94.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 13.12. Cascades' overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cascades (TSX:CAS), the current Beneish M-Score is 13.12 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Cascades (TSX:CAS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cascades stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of C$11.81 is trading 94.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of C$221.00. GuruFocus considers Cascades to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSX:CAS:

  • Beneish M-Score: 13.12
  • GF Value™: C$221.00 vs. price of C$11.81 (94.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:CAS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Cascades Business Description

Other Exchanges CADNF:USACS6:Germany
Address 404 Marie-Victorin Boulevard, C.P. 30, Kingsey Falls, QC, CAN, J0A 1B0
Cascades Inc is a paper and packaging company that produces, converts, and sells packaging and tissue products composed predominantly of recycled fibres. Its customer base includes food processing companies, the maintenance industry, the accommodations and housing industry, micro-businesses, and boutiques. The products are marketed through brands such as Cascades Fresh, Cascades Protect, Cascades IMGN, Cascades PRO, and Cascades Fluff & Tuff, among others. The company is organized into two main business segments: Packaging Products and Tissue Papers. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Packaging Product segment. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from the operations located in Canada.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:CAS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$11.81
Price
C$221.00
GF Value