Dollarama (TSX:DOL) Beneish M-Score: -3.11 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


TSX:DOL Dollarama Inc TSX:DOL
90 GF Score
Price C$192.17
GF Value C$180.82
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Dollarama Beneish M-Score?

Dollarama TSX:DOL +3.21% 90 Beneish M-Score is -3.11 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:DOL with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of C$180.82 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, Dollarama ranks better than 86.69% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.11 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollarama's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:DOL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.39   Med: -2.63   Max: -1.04
Current: -3.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Dollarama was -1.04. The lowest was -3.39. And the median was -2.63.


Dollarama Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Dollarama's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollarama Beneish M-Score Chart

Dollarama Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -1.70 -2.96 -2.12 -3.39

Dollarama Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.29 -2.39 -3.39 -3.11

TSX:DOL vs WMT, COST, TGT: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollarama's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollarama Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollarama's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollarama's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:DOL
90GF Score
Dollarama Inc TSX:DOL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Dollarama Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Dollarama for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6615+0.528 * 1.0086+0.404 * 0.9119+0.892 * 1.1611+0.115 * 0.9876
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.059+4.679 * -0.08614-0.327 * 1.0425
=-3.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Apr26) TTM:Last Year (Apr25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$32 Mil.
Revenue was 1846.089 + 2101.264 + 1909.442 + 1723.838 = C$7,581 Mil.
Gross Profit was 809.989 + 956.064 + 855.801 + 784.49 = C$3,406 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$2,013 Mil.
Total Assets was C$8,236 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$3,797 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$497 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$1,164 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,284 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$5,425 Mil.
Net Income was 302.274 + 392.46 + 321.724 + 321.498 = C$1,338 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 67.686 + 70.476 + 42.418 + 38.33 = C$219 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 382.923 + 584.678 + 433.639 + 427.223 = C$1,828 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$42 Mil.
Revenue was 1521.21 + 1881.345 + 1562.644 + 1563.384 = C$6,529 Mil.
Gross Profit was 672.31 + 880.559 + 698.716 + 707.195 = C$2,959 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,249 Mil.
Total Assets was C$6,568 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$3,197 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$412 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$946 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$952 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$4,180 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(32.47 / 7580.633) / (42.274 / 6528.583)
=0.004283 / 0.006475
=0.6615

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2958.78 / 6528.583) / (3406.344 / 7580.633)
=0.453204 / 0.449348
=1.0086

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2012.535 + 3796.665) / 8235.644) / (1 - (1249.132 + 3197.025) / 6568.184)
=0.294627 / 0.323077
=0.9119

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7580.633 / 6528.583
=1.1611

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(412.485 / (412.485 + 3197.025)) / (496.793 / (496.793 + 3796.665))
=0.114277 / 0.115709
=0.9876

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1163.864 / 7580.633) / (946.459 / 6528.583)
=0.153531 / 0.144972
=1.059

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5424.84 + 1283.652) / 8235.644) / ((4179.528 + 952.452) / 6568.184)
=0.814568 / 0.781339
=1.0425

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1337.956 - 218.91 - 1828.463) / 8235.644
=-0.08614

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Dollarama has a M-score of -3.11 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.11 mean?
Dollarama (TSX:DOL) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.11 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Dollarama and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Dollarama ranks #39 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 13.3%.
Is Dollarama's Beneish M-Score too high?
Dollarama's current Beneish M-Score is -3.11. Based on the distribution chart, Dollarama ranks #39 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Dollarama has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dollarama's Beneish M-Score compare to WMT and COST?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Dollarama ranks #39 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Dollarama in the top 13% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Dollarama and its competitors. Dollarama's current Beneish M-Score is -3.11. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dollarama stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollarama (TSX:DOL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$180.82, compared to a current price of C$192.17 — trading 6.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.11. Dollarama's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dollarama (TSX:DOL), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.11 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dollarama (TSX:DOL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollarama stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$192.17 is trading 6.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$180.82. GuruFocus considers Dollarama to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:DOL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.11
  • GF Value™: C$180.82 vs. price of C$192.17 (6.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:DOL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dollarama Business Description

Address 5805 Royalmount Avenue, Montreal, QC, CAN, H4P 0A1
Dollarama is Canada's largest dollar store chain that sells a broad range of everyday consumables and household items at low fixed price points, currently capped at CAD 5. General merchandise and consumables make up 90% of total sales, and the rest is from festivity-related seasonal items. The retailer operates close to 1,700 stores across Canada, mostly in convenient locations in metropolitan areas, midsize cities, and small towns. It also holds a 60% stake in South American value retailer Dollarcity, which operates more than 600 stores across Colombia, Guatemala, El Salvador, Peru, and Mexico. In 2025, the firm closed its CAD 234 million acquisition of Australian retail chain The Reject Shop, which operates about 400 stores.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:DOL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$192.17
Price
C$180.82
GF Value