MDA Space (TSX:MDA) Beneish M-Score: -2.42 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


TSX:MDA MDA Space Ltd TSX:MDA
47 GF Score
Price C$50.48
GF Value C$31.65
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is MDA Space Beneish M-Score?

MDA Space TSX:MDA -1.37% 47 Beneish M-Score is -2.42 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:MDA with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of C$31.65 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 326 Aerospace & Defense companies, MDA Space ranks better than 50% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.42 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for MDA Space's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:MDA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.01   Med: -2.44   Max: -2.01
Current: -2.42

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of MDA Space was -2.01. The lowest was -4.01. And the median was -2.44.


MDA Space Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MDA Space's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MDA Space Beneish M-Score Chart

MDA Space Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 -2.02 -2.10 -3.77 -2.71

MDA Space Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.01 -3.72 -3.03 -2.71 -2.42

TSX:MDA vs GE, RTX, BA: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, MDA Space's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MDA Space Beneish M-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, MDA Space's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MDA Space's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:MDA
47GF Score
MDA Space Ltd TSX:MDA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MDA Space Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of MDA Space for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7384+0.528 * 0.9742+0.404 * 1.0967+0.892 * 1.4291+0.115 * 0.736
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9959+4.679 * -0.024577-0.327 * 0.8775
=-2.42

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$413 Mil.
Revenue was 464.1 + 499.1 + 409.8 + 373.3 = C$1,746 Mil.
Gross Profit was 115.2 + 127.1 + 108.1 + 94.8 = C$445 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$1,041 Mil.
Total Assets was C$3,796 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$777 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$162 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$138 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,309 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$361 Mil.
Net Income was 29.6 + 24 + 24.4 + 27.2 = C$105 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6.5 + -10.4 + 9.4 + -8.4 = C$-3 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 60.9 + 54.9 + 32.8 + 52.8 = C$201 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$391 Mil.
Revenue was 351 + 346.6 + 282.4 + 242 = C$1,222 Mil.
Gross Profit was 79.7 + 81.9 + 75.7 + 66.2 = C$304 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$851 Mil.
Total Assets was C$2,851 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$645 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$94 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$97 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$1,309 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$120 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(412.8 / 1746.3) / (391.2 / 1222)
=0.236386 / 0.320131
=0.7384

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(303.5 / 1222) / (445.2 / 1746.3)
=0.248363 / 0.254939
=0.9742

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1040.5 + 777.1) / 3796.3) / (1 - (851.1 + 644.8) / 2850.8)
=0.521218 / 0.47527
=1.0967

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1746.3 / 1222
=1.4291

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(93.5 / (93.5 + 644.8)) / (161.5 / (161.5 + 777.1))
=0.126642 / 0.172065
=0.736

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(137.9 / 1746.3) / (96.9 / 1222)
=0.078967 / 0.079296
=0.9959

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((360.9 + 1308.5) / 3796.3) / ((120.2 + 1308.5) / 2850.8)
=0.439744 / 0.501158
=0.8775

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(105.2 - -2.9 - 201.4) / 3796.3
=-0.024577

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

MDA Space has a M-score of -2.42 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.42 mean?
MDA Space (TSX:MDA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.42 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MDA Space and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, MDA Space ranks #163 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 50%.
Is MDA Space's Beneish M-Score too high?
MDA Space's current Beneish M-Score is -2.42. Based on the distribution chart, MDA Space ranks #163 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, MDA Space has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MDA Space's Beneish M-Score compare to GE and RTX?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, MDA Space ranks #163 out of 326 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts MDA Space in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MDA Space and its competitors. MDA Space's current Beneish M-Score is -2.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MDA Space stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MDA Space (TSX:MDA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$31.65, compared to a current price of C$50.48 — trading 59.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.42. MDA Space's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MDA Space (TSX:MDA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.42 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MDA Space (TSX:MDA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MDA Space stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$50.48 is trading 59.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$31.65. GuruFocus considers MDA Space to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:MDA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.42
  • GF Value™: C$31.65 vs. price of C$50.48 (59.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:MDA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MDA Space Business Description

Other Exchanges MDA:USA
Address 7500 Financial Drive, Brampton, ON, CAN, L6Y 6K7
MDA Space Ltd is a developer and manufacturer of technology and services to the space industry. It is an international space mission partner and robotics, satellite systems, and geo-intelligence pioneer. It is engaged in communications satellites, Earth and space observation, space exploration, and infrastructure. The Company collaborates and partners with governments and space agencies, commercial space companies, and defence and aerospace prime contractors in the space industry. Geographically, it generates the majority of its revenue from Canada.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:MDA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$50.48
Price
C$31.65
GF Value