Saputo (TSX:SAP) Beneish M-Score: -2.98 (As of Jul. 16, 2026)

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TSX:SAP Saputo Inc TSX:SAP
68 GF Score
Price C$41.20
GF Value C$29.17
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Saputo Beneish M-Score?

Saputo TSX:SAP +1.53% 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:SAP with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of C$29.17 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,851 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Saputo ranks better than 82.28% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saputo's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:SAP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.98   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.28
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Saputo was -2.28. The lowest was -2.98. And the median was -2.58.


Saputo Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Saputo's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Saputo Beneish M-Score Chart

Saputo Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.51 -2.86 -2.61 -2.98

Saputo Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.82 -2.84 -2.88 -2.98

TSX:SAP vs KHC, GIS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Saputo's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saputo Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Saputo's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saputo's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:SAP
68GF Score
Saputo Inc TSX:SAP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Saputo Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Saputo for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.869+0.528 * 0.9291+0.404 * 0.9664+0.892 * 0.9853+0.115 * 0.9292
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0667+4.679 * -0.062766-0.327 * 1.0007
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$1,358 Mil.
Revenue was 3311 + 4888 + 4721 + 4631 = C$17,551 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1188 + 1609 + 1524 + 1477 = C$5,798 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$5,226 Mil.
Total Assets was C$13,606 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$4,730 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$598 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$4,159 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$3,056 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$2,720 Mil.
Net Income was 102 + 220 + 185 + 165 = C$672 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 19 + 0 + 2 + -3 = C$18 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 418 + 401 + 372 + 317 = C$1,508 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$1,586 Mil.
Revenue was 3504 + 4994 + 4708 + 4606 = C$17,812 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1181 + 1468 + 1410 + 1408 = C$5,467 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$4,855 Mil.
Total Assets was C$13,913 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$5,196 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$605 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$3,957 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$3,202 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$2,700 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1358 / 17551) / (1586 / 17812)
=0.077375 / 0.089041
=0.869

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5467 / 17812) / (5798 / 17551)
=0.306928 / 0.330352
=0.9291

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5226 + 4730) / 13606) / (1 - (4855 + 5196) / 13913)
=0.268264 / 0.277582
=0.9664

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17551 / 17812
=0.9853

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(605 / (605 + 5196)) / (598 / (598 + 4730))
=0.104292 / 0.112237
=0.9292

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4159 / 17551) / (3957 / 17812)
=0.236967 / 0.222154
=1.0667

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2720 + 3056) / 13606) / ((2700 + 3202) / 13913)
=0.424519 / 0.424208
=1.0007

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(672 - 18 - 1508) / 13606
=-0.062766

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Saputo has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 mean?
Saputo (TSX:SAP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 as of Jul. 16, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Saputo and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Saputo ranks #328 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 17.7%.
Is Saputo's Beneish M-Score too high?
Saputo's current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. Based on the distribution chart, Saputo ranks #328 out of 1851 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Saputo has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Saputo's Beneish M-Score compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Saputo ranks #328 out of 1851 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Saputo in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Saputo and its competitors. Saputo's current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Saputo stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Saputo (TSX:SAP) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$29.17, compared to a current price of C$41.20 — trading 41.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. Saputo's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Saputo (TSX:SAP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Saputo (TSX:SAP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Saputo stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$41.20 is trading 41.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$29.17. GuruFocus considers Saputo to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:SAP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.98
  • GF Value™: C$29.17 vs. price of C$41.20 (41.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:SAP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Saputo Business Description

Other Exchanges SAPIF:USASB7:Germany
Address 1000 de la Gauchetiere Street West, Suite 2900, Montreal, QC, CAN, H3B 4W5
Saputo Inc produces, markets, and distributes dairy products, including cheese, fluid milk, extended shelf-life milk and cream products, cultured products, and dairy ingredients. The Company is a cheese manufacturer and fluid milk and cream processor in Canada, a dairy processor in Australia, a cheese producer and extended shelf-life and cultured dairy products manufacturer in the USA, and a manufacturer of branded cheese and dairy spreads in the UK. Its cheese products are sold under various brand names, including Saputo, Armstrong, Alexis de Portneuf, Bari, Cogruet, DuVillage 1860, Kingsey, and Shepherd Gourmet Dairy. The Company operates through four divisions: Canada Sector, USA Sector, International Sector, and Europe Sector, with the USA Sector generating the maximum revenue.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:SAP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$41.20
Price
C$29.17
GF Value