Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) Beneish M-Score: -2.55 (As of Jul. 26, 2026)

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TSX:SU Suncor Energy Inc TSX:SU
68 GF Score
Price C$92.85
GF Value C$59.99
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score?

Suncor Energy TSX:SU -0.67% 68 Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jul. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:SU with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of C$59.99 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 821 Oil & Gas companies, Suncor Energy ranks worse than 58.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.55 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:SU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.78   Med: -2.85   Max: -1.3
Current: -2.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Suncor Energy was -1.30. The lowest was -4.78. And the median was -2.85.


Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score Chart

Suncor Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.94 -2.32 -2.69 -3.11 -2.90

Suncor Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.11 -3.12 -3.02 -2.90 -2.55

TSX:SU vs XOM, CVX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score falls into.


TSX:SU
68GF Score
Suncor Energy Inc TSX:SU
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Suncor Energy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3688+0.528 * 0.9701+0.404 * 1.0182+0.892 * 0.992+0.115 * 0.9972
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0093+4.679 * -0.08001-0.327 * 1.0469
=-2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$8,013 Mil.
Revenue was 15422 + 12733 + 13565 + 12749 = C$54,469 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7532 + 3783 + 6350 + 5181 = C$22,846 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$17,462 Mil.
Total Assets was C$92,826 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$69,755 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$6,984 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$11,259 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$12,319 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$13,182 Mil.
Net Income was 2100 + 1476 + 1619 + 1134 = C$6,329 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 117 + 363 + -5 + 221 = C$696 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2435 + 3921 + 3785 + 2919 = C$13,060 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$5,901 Mil.
Revenue was 13330 + 13657 + 13905 + 14014 = C$54,906 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6360 + 3640 + 6298 + 6043 = C$22,341 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$14,353 Mil.
Total Assets was C$89,698 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$70,022 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$6,989 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$11,245 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$10,361 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$13,176 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8013 / 54469) / (5901 / 54906)
=0.147111 / 0.107475
=1.3688

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(22341 / 54906) / (22846 / 54469)
=0.406895 / 0.419431
=0.9701

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (17462 + 69755) / 92826) / (1 - (14353 + 70022) / 89698)
=0.060425 / 0.059344
=1.0182

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=54469 / 54906
=0.992

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6989 / (6989 + 70022)) / (6984 / (6984 + 69755))
=0.090753 / 0.09101
=0.9972

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(11259 / 54469) / (11245 / 54906)
=0.206705 / 0.204805
=1.0093

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13182 + 12319) / 92826) / ((13176 + 10361) / 89698)
=0.274718 / 0.262403
=1.0469

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6329 - 696 - 13060) / 92826
=-0.08001

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Suncor Energy has a M-score of -2.55 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 mean?
Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.55 as of Jul. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Suncor Energy and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Suncor Energy ranks #482 out of 821 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 58.7%.
Is Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score too high?
Suncor Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. Based on the distribution chart, Suncor Energy ranks #482 out of 821 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Suncor Energy has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score compare to XOM and CVX?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Suncor Energy ranks #482 out of 821 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Suncor Energy in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Suncor Energy and its competitors. Suncor Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Suncor Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$59.99, compared to a current price of C$92.85 — trading 54.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.55. Suncor Energy's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Suncor Energy (TSX:SU), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.55 as of Jul. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Suncor Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$92.85 is trading 54.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$59.99. GuruFocus considers Suncor Energy to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:SU:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.55
  • GF Value™: C$59.99 vs. price of C$92.85 (54.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:SU stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Suncor Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 150 - 6th Avenue S.W., P.O. Box 2844, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 3E3
Suncor Energy Inc is an integrated energy company. The company's operations span the full energy value chain, including oil sands mining and in situ operations, upgrading, offshore production, petroleum refining in Canada and the U.S., marketing and trading, and nationwide PetroCanada retail and wholesale networks delivering reliable energy that fuels economic growth and meets the needs of customers across Canada and globally. It also conducts energy trading activities focused principally on the marketing and trading of crude oil, natural gas, byproducts, refined products, & power. The company's operating segments include Oil Sands, Exploration & Production, Refining & Marketing (R&M), & Corporate & eliminations. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from Canada.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:SU

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$92.85
Price
C$59.99
GF Value