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Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) Beneish M-Score : -2.98 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:SU' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -2.81   Max: -0.93
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Suncor Energy was -0.93. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -2.81.


Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score Chart

Suncor Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.42 -2.94 -2.31 -2.69

Suncor Energy Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.69 -2.79 -2.76 -2.98

Competitive Comparison of Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Suncor Energy's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Suncor Energy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8526+0.528 * 1.1115+0.404 * 0.9011+0.892 * 1.027+0.115 * 1.0239
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0034+4.679 * -0.095145-0.327 * 0.9052
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$6,736 Mil.
Revenue was 13905 + 14014 + 13305 + 13589 = C$54,813 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6298 + 6043 + 6395 + 3626 = C$22,362 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$14,954 Mil.
Total Assets was C$90,662 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$70,272 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$6,701 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$10,714 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$9,403 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$14,579 Mil.
Net Income was 2020 + 1568 + 1610 + 2820 = C$8,018 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 127 + 14 + 21 + 1287 = C$1,449 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 4261 + 3829 + 2787 + 4318 = C$15,195 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$7,693 Mil.
Revenue was 13911 + 12434 + 12272 + 14754 = C$53,371 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6204 + 5765 + 6329 + 5904 = C$24,202 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$15,311 Mil.
Total Assets was C$85,389 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$64,396 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$6,302 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$10,397 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$12,318 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$12,635 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6736 / 54813) / (7693 / 53371)
=0.122891 / 0.144142
=0.8526

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(24202 / 53371) / (22362 / 54813)
=0.453467 / 0.407969
=1.1115

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14954 + 70272) / 90662) / (1 - (15311 + 64396) / 85389)
=0.059959 / 0.066543
=0.9011

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=54813 / 53371
=1.027

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6302 / (6302 + 64396)) / (6701 / (6701 + 70272))
=0.08914 / 0.087057
=1.0239

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10714 / 54813) / (10397 / 53371)
=0.195465 / 0.194806
=1.0034

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((14579 + 9403) / 90662) / ((12635 + 12318) / 85389)
=0.264521 / 0.292227
=0.9052

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8018 - 1449 - 15195) / 90662
=-0.095145

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Suncor Energy has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Suncor Energy Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Suncor Energy Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
150 - 6th Avenue S.W., P.O. Box 2844, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 3E3
Suncor Energy Inc is an integrated energy company. The company's operations include oil sands development, production and upgrading, offshore oil production, petroleum refining in Canada and the U.S., and the company's Petro-Canada retail and wholesale distribution networks. The company is developing petroleum resources while advancing the transition to a low-emissions future through investment in power, and renewable fuels. It also conducts energy trading activities focused principally on the marketing and trading of crude oil, natural gas, byproducts, refined products and power. The company's operating segments include Oil Sands, Exploration and Production, and Refining and Marketing. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from Canada.
Executives
Adam Husain Albeldawi Senior Officer
Kristopher Peter Smith Senior Officer
Kent Donald Ferguson Senior Officer
Shelley Powell Senior Officer
Jacqueline Sue Moore Senior Officer
Arlene Joyce Strom Senior Officer
Paul Douglas Gardner Senior Officer
Bruno Francoeur Senior Officer
Martha Kathleen Marlow Hall Findlay Senior Officer
Michael Roderick Macsween Senior Officer
Russell Girling Director
Mark Stephen Little Senior Officer
Joseph Anthony Vetrone Senior Officer
Lorraine Mitchelmore Director
Eric Charles Axford Senior Officer

Suncor Energy Headlines