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Vacasa (Vacasa) Beneish M-Score : -1.47 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Vacasa Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.47 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vacasa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VCSA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.76   Med: -2.12   Max: -1.47
Current: -1.47

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vacasa was -1.47. The lowest was -2.76. And the median was -2.12.


Vacasa Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vacasa's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vacasa Beneish M-Score Chart

Vacasa Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -2.76 -1.47

Vacasa Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.89 -2.75 -1.71 -1.47

Competitive Comparison of Vacasa's Beneish M-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, Vacasa's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vacasa's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Vacasa's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vacasa's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Vacasa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vacasa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8796+0.528 * 0.9808+0.404 * 0.7813+0.892 * 0.9411+0.115 * 0.9655
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8802+4.679 * 0.307271-0.327 * 1.5674
=-1.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $14 Mil.
Revenue was 177.44 + 379.077 + 304.579 + 256.854 = $1,118 Mil.
Gross Profit was 74.835 + 228.288 + 162.453 + 132.723 = $598 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $266 Mil.
Total Assets was $664 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $57 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $78 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $294 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $423 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $17 Mil.
Net Income was -43.598 + -228.192 + -3.121 + -23.792 = $-299 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.518 + -455.177 + 1.617 + 2.157 = $-451 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -80.142 + -280.631 + 150.43 + 158.636 = $-52 Mil.
Total Receivables was $17 Mil.
Revenue was 218.158 + 412.184 + 310.348 + 247.26 = $1,188 Mil.
Gross Profit was 101.761 + 238.061 + 158.254 + 125.501 = $624 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $381 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,306 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $66 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $83 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $355 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $531 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $22 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(14.242 / 1117.95) / (17.204 / 1187.95)
=0.012739 / 0.014482
=0.8796

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(623.577 / 1187.95) / (598.299 / 1117.95)
=0.524919 / 0.535175
=0.9808

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (265.845 + 56.717) / 663.548) / (1 - (381.363 + 65.543) / 1305.584)
=0.513883 / 0.657696
=0.7813

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1117.95 / 1187.95
=0.9411

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(83.335 / (83.335 + 65.543)) / (78.247 / (78.247 + 56.717))
=0.559754 / 0.579762
=0.9655

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(293.881 / 1117.95) / (354.791 / 1187.95)
=0.262875 / 0.298658
=0.8802

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17.196 + 422.823) / 663.548) / ((21.831 + 530.529) / 1305.584)
=0.663131 / 0.423075
=1.5674

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-298.703 - -450.885 - -51.707) / 663.548
=0.307271

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vacasa has a M-score of -1.47 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Vacasa (Vacasa) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
850 NW 13th Avenue, Portland, OR, USA, 97209
Vacasa Inc is a vacation rental management platform in North America, transforming the vacation rental experience by integrating purpose-built technology with expert local and national teams.
Executives
Mossytree Inc. 10 percent owner 201 SW DOGWOOD LN, WHITE SALMON WA 98672
John Banczak officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O VACASA, INC., 850 NW 13TH AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97209
Robert Winston Greyber director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SABRE STRATEGIC HOLDINGS, LLC, 3150 SABRE DRIVE, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Tad K Larsen officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O VACASA, INC., 850 NW 13TH AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97209
Eric Breon 10 percent owner 201 SW DOGWOOD LN, WHITE SALMON WA 98672
Bruce Schuman officer: Chief Financial Officer 315 MONTGOMERY STREET, 15TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Kimberly Rene White director C/O VACASA, INC., 850 NW 13TH AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97209
Rachel A Gonzalez director 3150 SABRE DRIVE, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Karl Mr. Peterson 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Jon Winkelried 10 percent owner C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
George Mcculloch director, 10 percent owner C/O MEDIDATA SOLUTIONS, INC., 79 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Joerg Adams director C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slp Venice Holdings, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slp V Venice Feeder I, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Rcp Iii (a) Blocker Feeder L.p. 10 percent owner RIVERWOOD MANAGEMENT, 70 WILLOW ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025