VLOWY (Vallourec) Beneish M-Score: -2.52 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


VLOWY Vallourec SA VLOWY
70 GF Score
Price $4.94
GF Value $3.20
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vallourec Beneish M-Score?

Vallourec VLOWY -8.18% 70 Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates VLOWY with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.20 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 593 Steel companies, Vallourec ranks better than 50.93% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.52 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vallourec's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VLOWY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.07   Med: -2.85   Max: 0.96
Current: -2.52

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vallourec was 0.96. The lowest was -6.07. And the median was -2.85.


Vallourec Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vallourec's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vallourec Beneish M-Score Chart

Vallourec Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.07 -2.47 -2.25 -2.70 -2.76

Vallourec Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.78 -3.17 -2.75 -2.76 -2.52

VLOWY vs NUE, STLD, RS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Vallourec's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vallourec Beneish M-Score vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Vallourec's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vallourec's Beneish M-Score falls into.


VLOWY
70GF Score
Vallourec SA VLOWY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vallourec Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vallourec for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1318+0.528 * 0.9556+0.404 * 1.0595+0.892 * 0.9775+0.115 * 1.6868
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0396+4.679 * -0.039658-0.327 * 0.9338
=-2.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $657 Mil.
Revenue was 963.006 + 1221.311 + 1069.249 + 995.386 = $4,249 Mil.
Gross Profit was 304.046 + 331.382 + 313.38 + 329.873 = $1,279 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,525 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,524 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,425 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $186 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $377 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,451 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,150 Mil.
Net Income was 85.549 + 112.412 + 157.277 + 46.136 = $401 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 197.688 + 271.663 + 91.549 + 99.193 = $660 Mil.
Total Receivables was $594 Mil.
Revenue was 1071.351 + 1115.183 + 992.231 + 1167.922 = $4,347 Mil.
Gross Profit was 315.676 + 309.948 + 289.678 + 334.769 = $1,250 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $3,322 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,747 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,948 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $266 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $371 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,398 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,056 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(656.647 / 4248.952) / (593.514 / 4346.687)
=0.154543 / 0.136544
=1.1318

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1250.071 / 4346.687) / (1278.681 / 4248.952)
=0.287592 / 0.30094
=0.9556

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3524.855 + 2425.434) / 6523.699) / (1 - (3322.162 + 1948.108) / 5747.027)
=0.087896 / 0.082957
=1.0595

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4248.952 / 4346.687
=0.9775

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(265.807 / (265.807 + 1948.108)) / (185.863 / (185.863 + 2425.434))
=0.120062 / 0.071177
=1.6868

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(376.899 / 4248.952) / (370.9 / 4346.687)
=0.088704 / 0.085329
=1.0396

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1150.289 + 1450.867) / 6523.699) / ((1056.216 + 1397.838) / 5747.027)
=0.398724 / 0.427013
=0.9338

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(401.374 - 0 - 660.093) / 6523.699
=-0.039658

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vallourec has a M-score of -2.47 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 mean?
Vallourec (VLOWY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.52 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vallourec and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Vallourec ranks #291 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, placing it in the top 49.1%.
Is Vallourec's Beneish M-Score too high?
Vallourec's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. Based on the distribution chart, Vallourec ranks #291 out of 593 companies in the Steel industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Vallourec has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vallourec's Beneish M-Score compare to NUE and STLD?
According to the Steel industry distribution chart, Vallourec ranks #291 out of 593 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Vallourec in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Steel company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Steel industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vallourec and its competitors. Vallourec's current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vallourec stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vallourec (VLOWY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.20, compared to a current price of $4.94 — trading 54.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.52. Vallourec's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vallourec (VLOWY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.52 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vallourec (VLOWY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vallourec stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $4.94 is trading 54.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.20. GuruFocus considers Vallourec to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for VLOWY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.52
  • GF Value™: $3.20 vs. price of $4.94 (54.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the VLOWY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vallourec Business Description

Address 12 Rue de la Verrerie, Meudon, FRA, 92190
Vallourec SA is a world leader in premium tubular solutions for the energy markets and for demanding industrial applications such as oil & gas wells in harsh environments, new generation power plants, challenging architectural projects, and high-performance mechanical equipment. Its pioneering spirit and cutting-edge R&D open new technological frontiers. With close to around 13,000 dedicated and passionate employees in more than 20 countries, it works hand- in-hand with its customers to offer more than just tubes: Vallourec delivers safe, competitive, and smart tubular solutions to make every project possible.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for VLOWY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.94
Price
$3.20
GF Value