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KGL (WAR:KGL) Beneish M-Score : -3.06 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is KGL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.06 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for KGL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:KGL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.63   Max: -2.21
Current: -3.06

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KGL was -2.21. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.63.


KGL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for KGL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

KGL Beneish M-Score Chart

KGL Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -2.23 -3.15 -2.21 -2.87 -3.06

KGL Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -3.21 -3.25 -3.24 -3.06

Competitive Comparison of KGL's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, KGL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KGL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, KGL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KGL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



KGL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of KGL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1887+0.528 * 0.5366+0.404 * 1.3184+0.892 * 0.8628+0.115 * 0.9373
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1711+4.679 * -0.110265-0.327 * 0.8887
=-3.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł32.5 Mil.
Revenue was 135.523 + 144.229 + 141.778 + 141.059 = zł562.6 Mil.
Gross Profit was 24.241 + 24.747 + 25.75 + 25.834 = zł100.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł129.6 Mil.
Total Assets was zł349.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł206.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł27.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł66.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł145.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł59.1 Mil.
Net Income was 8.362 + 0.621 + 4.913 + 4.405 = zł18.3 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 16.943 + 22.568 + 6.73 + 10.624 = zł56.9 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł31.6 Mil.
Revenue was 139.811 + 162.681 + 178.245 + 171.298 = zł652.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was 15.385 + 10.387 + 20.801 + 15.976 = zł62.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł143.9 Mil.
Total Assets was zł373.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł218.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł27.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł65.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł187.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł58.3 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(32.457 / 562.589) / (31.645 / 652.035)
=0.057692 / 0.048533
=1.1887

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(62.549 / 652.035) / (100.572 / 562.589)
=0.095929 / 0.178766
=0.5366

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (129.56 + 206.378) / 349.739) / (1 - (143.921 + 218.539) / 373.644)
=0.039461 / 0.029932
=1.3184

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=562.589 / 652.035
=0.8628

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(27.309 / (27.309 + 218.539)) / (27.745 / (27.745 + 206.378))
=0.111081 / 0.118506
=0.9373

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(66.223 / 562.589) / (65.537 / 652.035)
=0.117711 / 0.100511
=1.1711

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((59.074 + 145.184) / 349.739) / ((58.338 + 187.209) / 373.644)
=0.58403 / 0.657168
=0.8887

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(18.301 - 0 - 56.865) / 349.739
=-0.110265

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

KGL has a M-score of -3.06 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


KGL (WAR:KGL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Ulica Postepu 20, Mosciska, Izabelin, POL, 05-080
KGL SA is a supplier of granules of thermoplastics and food packaging made of plastics, produced in thermoforming technology. The company's products include Styrene plastics, Polyolefins, Technical plastics, Special plastics, Elastomers, Dyes and modifiers and Plastic packaging.

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