MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas (WAR:MOL) Beneish M-Score: -2.98 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


WAR:MOL MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas PLC WAR:MOL
69 GF Score
Price zł44.22
GF Value zł29.42
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Beneish M-Score?

MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas WAR:MOL -1.60% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates WAR:MOL with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of zł29.42 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas ranks better than 69.59% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:MOL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.5   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.13
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas was -2.13. The lowest was -3.50. And the median was -2.72.


MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Beneish M-Score Chart

MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.51 -2.38 -2.46 -2.72 -2.98

MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.98 0.00

WAR:MOL vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WAR:MOL
69GF Score
MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas PLC WAR:MOL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9515+0.528 * 1.0264+0.404 * 1.0292+0.892 * 0.9474+0.115 * 0.7675
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1453+4.679 * -0.082841-0.327 * 0.9724
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł10,765 Mil.
Revenue was zł104,568 Mil.
Gross Profit was zł16,643 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł30,893 Mil.
Total Assets was zł98,522 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł54,139 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł7,711 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł782 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł24,652 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł7,866 Mil.
Net Income was zł3,584 Mil.
Gross Profit was zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was zł11,746 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł11,942 Mil.
Revenue was zł110,369 Mil.
Gross Profit was zł18,030 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł30,789 Mil.
Total Assets was zł101,895 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł57,550 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł6,090 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł720 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł23,010 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł11,577 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10765.219 / 104568.302) / (11941.718 / 110368.84)
=0.102949 / 0.108198
=0.9515

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18030.291 / 110368.84) / (16643.327 / 104568.302)
=0.163364 / 0.159162
=1.0264

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (30892.579 + 54139.318) / 98521.851) / (1 - (30789.481 + 57549.786) / 101895.476)
=0.136923 / 0.13304
=1.0292

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=104568.302 / 110368.84
=0.9474

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(6089.703 / (6089.703 + 57549.786)) / (7711.228 / (7711.228 + 54139.318))
=0.095691 / 0.124675
=0.7675

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(781.507 / 104568.302) / (720.266 / 110368.84)
=0.007474 / 0.006526
=1.1453

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7866.344 + 24651.933) / 98521.851) / ((11576.655 + 23009.785) / 101895.476)
=0.330062 / 0.339431
=0.9724

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(3583.933 - 0 - 11745.551) / 98521.851
=-0.082841

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 mean?
MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas (WAR:MOL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.98 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas ranks #250 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 30.4%.
Is MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas' Beneish M-Score too high?
MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas' current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. Based on the distribution chart, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas ranks #250 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas' Beneish M-Score compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas ranks #250 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas and its competitors. MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas's current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas (WAR:MOL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is zł29.42, compared to a current price of zł44.22 — trading 50.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.98. MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas' overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas (WAR:MOL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.98 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas (WAR:MOL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of zł44.22 is trading 50.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of zł29.42. GuruFocus considers MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WAR:MOL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.98
  • GF Value™: zł29.42 vs. price of zł44.22 (50.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WAR:MOL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Dombovari ut 28, Budapest, HUN, H-1117
MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas PLC is a multinational integrated oil and gas company. The group has various segments, including Upstream, Downstream, Consumer services, Gas midstream, Circular Economy and Corporate and others. The Downstream segment derives the majority of the revenue, which consists of different business activities that are part of an integrated value chain that turns crude oil into a range of refined products, which are moved and marketed for household, industrial, and transport use. Geographically, the firm derives key revenue from Hungary, Croatia, and Slovakia.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WAR:MOL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł44.22
Price
zł29.42
GF Value