Mostostal Warszawa (WAR:MSW) Beneish M-Score: -4.06 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


WAR:MSW Mostostal Warszawa SA WAR:MSW
53 GF Score
Price zł3.76
GF Value zł5.14
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Mostostal Warszawa Beneish M-Score?

Mostostal Warszawa WAR:MSW +2.45% 53 Beneish M-Score is -4.06 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates WAR:MSW with a GF Score™ of 53/100 and a GF Value™ of zł5.14 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,704 Construction companies, Mostostal Warszawa ranks better than 95.48% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.06 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mostostal Warszawa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:MSW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.84   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.67
Current: -4.06

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mostostal Warszawa was -1.67. The lowest was -4.84. And the median was -2.59.


Mostostal Warszawa Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Mostostal Warszawa's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Mostostal Warszawa Beneish M-Score Chart

Mostostal Warszawa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.54 -2.11 -3.19 -2.20 -4.84

Mostostal Warszawa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 -1.95 -2.83 -4.84 -4.06

WAR:MSW vs PWR, FIX, EME: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Mostostal Warszawa's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mostostal Warszawa Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Mostostal Warszawa's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mostostal Warszawa's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WAR:MSW
53GF Score
Mostostal Warszawa SA WAR:MSW
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Mostostal Warszawa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mostostal Warszawa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2262+0.528 * -0.8979+0.404 * 1.1143+0.892 * 0.7745+0.115 * 0.7777
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3985+4.679 * -0.106703-0.327 * 1.1257
=-4.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł576 Mil.
Revenue was 251.435 + 238.255 + 389.357 + 364.87 = zł1,244 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8.271 + -110.752 + 39.122 + 11.323 = zł-52 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł750 Mil.
Total Assets was zł956 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł132 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł80 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł20 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł808 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł105 Mil.
Net Income was -9.668 + -105.771 + 1.346 + 1.191 = zł-113 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -192.043 + 131.967 + 98.235 + -49.051 = zł-11 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł607 Mil.
Revenue was 317.012 + 454.681 + 469.228 + 365.075 = zł1,606 Mil.
Gross Profit was 19.77 + 9.338 + 37.374 + -6.162 = zł60 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł746 Mil.
Total Assets was zł1,020 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł203 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł84 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł18 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł808 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł57 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(576.242 / 1243.917) / (606.745 / 1605.996)
=0.463248 / 0.3778
=1.2262

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(60.32 / 1605.996) / (-52.036 / 1243.917)
=0.037559 / -0.041832
=-0.8979

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (749.532 + 132.02) / 956.015) / (1 - (746.202 + 202.74) / 1020.257)
=0.077889 / 0.069899
=1.1143

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1243.917 / 1605.996
=0.7745

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(84.173 / (84.173 + 202.74)) / (79.978 / (79.978 + 132.02))
=0.293375 / 0.377258
=0.7777

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(19.957 / 1243.917) / (18.424 / 1605.996)
=0.016044 / 0.011472
=1.3985

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((105.09 + 808.043) / 956.015) / ((57.478 + 808.233) / 1020.257)
=0.955145 / 0.848522
=1.1257

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-112.902 - 0 - -10.892) / 956.015
=-0.106703

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mostostal Warszawa has a M-score of -4.06 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -4.06 mean?
Mostostal Warszawa (WAR:MSW) has a Beneish M-Score of -4.06 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Mostostal Warszawa and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Mostostal Warszawa ranks #77 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 4.5%.
Is Mostostal Warszawa's Beneish M-Score too high?
Mostostal Warszawa's current Beneish M-Score is -4.06. Based on the distribution chart, Mostostal Warszawa ranks #77 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Mostostal Warszawa has a GF Score™ of 53/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Mostostal Warszawa's Beneish M-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Mostostal Warszawa ranks #77 out of 1704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Mostostal Warszawa in the top 5% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Mostostal Warszawa and its competitors. Mostostal Warszawa's current Beneish M-Score is -4.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Mostostal Warszawa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mostostal Warszawa (WAR:MSW) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is zł5.14, compared to a current price of zł3.76 — trading 26.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -4.06. Mostostal Warszawa's overall GF Score™ is 53/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Mostostal Warszawa (WAR:MSW), the current Beneish M-Score is -4.06 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Mostostal Warszawa (WAR:MSW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Mostostal Warszawa stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of zł3.76 is trading 26.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of zł5.14. GuruFocus considers Mostostal Warszawa to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for WAR:MSW:

  • Beneish M-Score: -4.06
  • GF Value™: zł5.14 vs. price of zł3.76 (26.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WAR:MSW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Mostostal Warszawa Business Description

Address Ul. Konstruktorska 12A, Warszawa, POL, 02-673
Mostostal Warszawa SA is a Poland based construction company. It operates as the general contractor and undertakes construction activities in the areas of general, industrial, environmental, energy, infrastructural and road. General construction includes commercial construction like residential buildings and housing developments, office facilities, public buildings, production halls, and warehouses. Industrial construction encompasses the development of large-scale industrial projects. Infrastructural and road construction consists of the construction of bridges, overpasses, multi-level crossings and underground structures. Environmental construction consists of the execution and supply of equipment related to environmental protection, including turnkey energy facilities.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WAR:MSW

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł3.76
Price
zł5.14
GF Value