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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police (WAR:PCE) Beneish M-Score : 10.58 (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 10.58 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:PCE' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.16   Med: -3.03   Max: 10.58
Current: 10.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police was 10.58. The lowest was -3.16. And the median was -3.03.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police Beneish M-Score Chart

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -0.87 -3.05 -3.09 10.58

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.09 -3.24 -11.06 -6.83 10.58

Competitive Comparison of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.302+0.528 * 33.1874+0.404 * 0.9313+0.892 * 0.5551+0.115 * 0.9178
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.5807+4.679 * -0.768311-0.327 * 1.2482
=10.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł229 Mil.
Revenue was 704.901 + 768.142 + 783.999 + 712.466 = zł2,970 Mil.
Gross Profit was 79.486 + -18.007 + 2.121 + -56.533 = zł7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł1,067 Mil.
Total Assets was zł3,305 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł1,254 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł131 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł291 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł2,039 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł74 Mil.
Net Income was -889.255 + -136.11 + 6.147 + -50.625 = zł-1,070 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 366.134 + 310.566 + 567.581 + 224.779 = zł1,469 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł317 Mil.
Revenue was 1307.573 + 1379.103 + 1614.472 + 1048.531 = zł5,350 Mil.
Gross Profit was -84.745 + 78.574 + 341.862 + 86.86 = zł423 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł1,566 Mil.
Total Assets was zł4,350 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł1,395 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł133 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł332 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł1,772 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł457 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(229.237 / 2969.508) / (317.186 / 5349.679)
=0.077197 / 0.059291
=1.302

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(422.551 / 5349.679) / (7.067 / 2969.508)
=0.078986 / 0.00238
=33.1874

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1067.48 + 1254.23) / 3304.523) / (1 - (1565.753 + 1394.73) / 4349.522)
=0.297414 / 0.319354
=0.9313

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2969.508 / 5349.679
=0.5551

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(132.877 / (132.877 + 1394.73)) / (131.31 / (131.31 + 1254.23))
=0.086984 / 0.094772
=0.9178

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(291.182 / 2969.508) / (331.869 / 5349.679)
=0.098057 / 0.062035
=1.5807

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((73.879 + 2039.499) / 3304.523) / ((456.512 + 1772.128) / 4349.522)
=0.639541 / 0.512387
=1.2482

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1069.843 - 0 - 1469.06) / 3304.523
=-0.768311

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police has a M-score of 10.58 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police (WAR:PCE) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
ul Kuznicka 1, Police, POL, 72-010
Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police SA is a Poland based company operating in the chemical industry. Its core business activities include manufacturing and sale of fertilizers, pigments, chemicals, plastics, sulfur, among others. Its product portfolio includes nitrogenous fertilizers, nitrogen fertilizers with sulfur, compound fertilizers, polyethylene tubes, plasticizers, alcohols, catalysts, organic chemicals, inorganic chemicals, liquid sulfur, insoluble sulfur, sulfur pastilles, among others.

Grupa Azoty Zaklady Chemiczne Police (WAR:PCE) Headlines

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