Rafamet (WAR:RAF) Beneish M-Score: -3.38 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


WAR:RAF Rafamet SA WAR:RAF
46 GF Score
Price zł50.00
GF Value zł5.93
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Rafamet Beneish M-Score?

Rafamet WAR:RAF -0.79% 46 Beneish M-Score is -3.38 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates WAR:RAF with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of zł5.93 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,926 Industrial Products companies, Rafamet ranks better than 93.64% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rafamet's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:RAF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -27.41   Med: -2.58   Max: 0.09
Current: -3.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Rafamet was 0.09. The lowest was -27.41. And the median was -2.58.


Rafamet Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Rafamet's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Rafamet Beneish M-Score Chart

Rafamet Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.49 -2.46 -27.41 -3.46

Rafamet Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.82 -2.68 -4.59 -3.46 -3.38

WAR:RAF vs SNA, RBC, LECO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Rafamet's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rafamet Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Rafamet's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rafamet's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WAR:RAF
46GF Score
Rafamet SA WAR:RAF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Rafamet Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Rafamet for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8786+0.528 * -0.283+0.404 * 1.5966+0.892 * 1.0404+0.115 * 0.8459
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9371+4.679 * -0.081939-0.327 * 0.9917
=-3.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł77.80 Mil.
Revenue was 22.017 + 20.005 + 16.266 + 16.684 = zł74.97 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3.289 + 2.174 + 1.461 + 2.139 = zł9.06 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł120.01 Mil.
Total Assets was zł200.54 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł75.18 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł8.20 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł28.21 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł127.39 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł14.92 Mil.
Net Income was -4.655 + -15.153 + -3.265 + -12.374 = zł-35.45 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -7.249 + 2.327 + -4.894 + -9.199 = zł-19.02 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł85.11 Mil.
Revenue was 19.037 + 13.813 + 19.692 + 19.517 = zł72.06 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2.486 + -2.597 + -0.296 + -2.058 = zł-2.47 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł106.57 Mil.
Total Assets was zł202.78 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł92.83 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł8.42 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł28.93 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł123.41 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł21.69 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(77.798 / 74.972) / (85.106 / 72.059)
=1.037694 / 1.18106
=0.8786

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-2.465 / 72.059) / (9.063 / 74.972)
=-0.034208 / 0.120885
=-0.283

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (120.007 + 75.178) / 200.539) / (1 - (106.568 + 92.825) / 202.784)
=0.026698 / 0.016722
=1.5966

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=74.972 / 72.059
=1.0404

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8.419 / (8.419 + 92.825)) / (8.196 / (8.196 + 75.178))
=0.083156 / 0.098304
=0.8459

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(28.205 / 74.972) / (28.93 / 72.059)
=0.376207 / 0.401477
=0.9371

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((14.918 + 127.385) / 200.539) / ((21.691 + 123.412) / 202.784)
=0.709603 / 0.715554
=0.9917

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-35.447 - 0 - -19.015) / 200.539
=-0.081939

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Rafamet has a M-score of -3.38 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.38 mean?
Rafamet (WAR:RAF) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.38 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Rafamet and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Rafamet ranks #186 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 6.4%.
Is Rafamet's Beneish M-Score too high?
Rafamet's current Beneish M-Score is -3.38. Based on the distribution chart, Rafamet ranks #186 out of 2926 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Rafamet has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Rafamet's Beneish M-Score compare to SNA and RBC?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, Rafamet ranks #186 out of 2926 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Rafamet in the top 6% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Rafamet and its competitors. Rafamet's current Beneish M-Score is -3.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Rafamet stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rafamet (WAR:RAF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is zł5.93, compared to a current price of zł50.00 — trading 743.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.38. Rafamet's overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Rafamet (WAR:RAF), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.38 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Rafamet (WAR:RAF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rafamet stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of zł50.00 is trading 743.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of zł5.93. GuruFocus considers Rafamet to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WAR:RAF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.38
  • GF Value™: zł5.93 vs. price of zł50.00 (743.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WAR:RAF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Rafamet Business Description

Address Street Staszica 1, Kuznia Raciborska, POL, 47-420
Rafamet SA is involved in manufacturing and selling special-purpose machine tools for wheelset machining globally. It offers vertical turning and horizontal lathes, horizontal drilling machines, milling machines, horizontal boring machines, and castings. It is a supplier of heavy-duty special-purpose machine tools for customers in the machine-building, power generation, shipbuilding, metallurgical, aerospace, and defense industries.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WAR:RAF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł50.00
Price
zł5.93
GF Value