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Selena FM (WAR:SEL) Beneish M-Score : -2.39 (As of May. 20, 2024)


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What is Selena FM Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Selena FM's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:SEL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -2.51   Max: -1.63
Current: -2.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Selena FM was -1.63. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.51.


Selena FM Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Selena FM's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Selena FM Beneish M-Score Chart

Selena FM Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -2.49 -1.63 -2.80 -2.39

Selena FM Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.80 -2.58 -2.59 -2.88 -2.39

Competitive Comparison of Selena FM's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Selena FM's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Selena FM's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Selena FM's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Selena FM's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Selena FM Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Selena FM for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1257+0.528 * 0.9728+0.404 * 1.5505+0.892 * 0.9058+0.115 * 1.4704
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1216+4.679 * -0.026069-0.327 * 1.1711
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł346 Mil.
Revenue was 422.065 + 491.603 + 452.54 + 412.197 = zł1,778 Mil.
Gross Profit was 112.099 + 179.192 + 139.476 + 119.3 = zł550 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł689 Mil.
Total Assets was zł1,286 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł394 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł40 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł460 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł478 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł87 Mil.
Net Income was -11.623 + 54.89 + 11.887 + -5.057 = zł50 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 29.727 + 157.798 + -27.955 + -75.949 = zł84 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł340 Mil.
Revenue was 473.516 + 569.003 + 499.177 + 421.608 = zł1,963 Mil.
Gross Profit was 129.059 + 185.062 + 141.45 + 135.164 = zł591 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł764 Mil.
Total Assets was zł1,171 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł288 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł46 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł453 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł367 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł72 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(346.336 / 1778.405) / (339.639 / 1963.304)
=0.194745 / 0.172994
=1.1257

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(590.735 / 1963.304) / (550.067 / 1778.405)
=0.300888 / 0.309304
=0.9728

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (688.695 + 393.706) / 1285.974) / (1 - (763.736 + 287.792) / 1171.095)
=0.158303 / 0.102098
=1.5505

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1778.405 / 1963.304
=0.9058

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(45.622 / (45.622 + 287.792)) / (40.397 / (40.397 + 393.706))
=0.136833 / 0.093059
=1.4704

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(460.14 / 1778.405) / (452.897 / 1963.304)
=0.258737 / 0.230681
=1.1216

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((87.003 + 477.642) / 1285.974) / ((72.257 + 366.816) / 1171.095)
=0.43908 / 0.374925
=1.1711

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(50.097 - 0 - 83.621) / 1285.974
=-0.026069

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Selena FM has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Selena FM Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Selena FM (WAR:SEL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Legnicka 48A, Wroclaw, POL, 54-202
Selena FM SA is a Poland-based company engaged in the construction materials sector. The core business of the group includes the production, distribution, and sale of construction chemicals, building materials for doors and windows, and general building accessories. Its products include polyurethane foams, adhesives, sealants, building insulation systems, flooring systems, interior wall systems, ceramic tile systems, construction mortars, waterproofing materials, and other products primarily under Tytan, Quilosa, Artelit, Cool-R, and Matizol brand names. The company's geographical segments include European Union; Eastern Europe and Asia, and North and South America. It derives a majority of its revenue from the European Union.

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