Trakcja (WAR:TRK) Beneish M-Score: -2.83 (As of Jul. 15, 2026)

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WAR:TRK Trakcja SA WAR:TRK
54 GF Score
Price zł3.51
GF Value zł1.79
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Trakcja Beneish M-Score?

Trakcja WAR:TRK -0.14% 54 Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates WAR:TRK with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of zł1.79 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,699 Construction companies, Trakcja ranks better than 74.87% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Trakcja's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:TRK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.13   Med: -2.87   Max: 12.66
Current: -2.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Trakcja was 12.66. The lowest was -10.13. And the median was -2.87.


Trakcja Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Trakcja's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Trakcja Beneish M-Score Chart

Trakcja Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.93 -3.80 -5.06 -1.86 -2.58

Trakcja Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.01 -2.50 -2.58 -2.83

WAR:TRK vs PWR, FIX, EME: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Trakcja's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Trakcja Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Trakcja's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trakcja's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WAR:TRK
54GF Score
Trakcja SA WAR:TRK
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Trakcja Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Trakcja for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9608+0.528 * 0.6357+0.404 * 1.2538+0.892 * 1.0805+0.115 * 1.1856
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9862+4.679 * -0.070391-0.327 * 0.9704
=-2.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł503 Mil.
Revenue was 324.888 + 750.381 + 572.388 + 617.683 = zł2,265 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11.91 + 102.486 + 58.296 + 30.735 = zł203 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł1,021 Mil.
Total Assets was zł1,602 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł293 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł37 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł65 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł961 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł82 Mil.
Net Income was -6.72 + 53.733 + 36.658 + 0.862 = zł85 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 40.336 + 163.279 + 83.584 + -89.895 = zł197 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł484 Mil.
Revenue was 301.909 + 736.549 + 609.529 + 448.51 = zł2,096 Mil.
Gross Profit was -0.931 + 53.72 + 40.887 + 26.014 = zł120 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł1,073 Mil.
Total Assets was zł1,527 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł235 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł36 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł61 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł981 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł44 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(502.506 / 2265.34) / (484.039 / 2096.497)
=0.221824 / 0.23088
=0.9608

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(119.69 / 2096.497) / (203.427 / 2265.34)
=0.05709 / 0.0898
=0.6357

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1020.94 + 292.769) / 1602.062) / (1 - (1073.491 + 234.685) / 1527.454)
=0.179989 / 0.143558
=1.2538

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2265.34 / 2096.497
=1.0805

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(36.087 / (36.087 + 234.685)) / (37.08 / (37.08 + 292.769))
=0.133274 / 0.112415
=1.1856

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(64.863 / 2265.34) / (60.867 / 2096.497)
=0.028633 / 0.029033
=0.9862

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((81.762 + 961.364) / 1602.062) / ((43.654 + 981.182) / 1527.454)
=0.651115 / 0.670944
=0.9704

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(84.533 - 0 - 197.304) / 1602.062
=-0.070391

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Trakcja has a M-score of -2.83 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.83 mean?
Trakcja (WAR:TRK) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.83 as of Jul. 15, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trakcja and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Trakcja ranks #427 out of 1699 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 25.1%.
Is Trakcja's Beneish M-Score too high?
Trakcja's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Based on the distribution chart, Trakcja ranks #427 out of 1699 companies in the Construction industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Trakcja has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Trakcja's Beneish M-Score compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Trakcja ranks #427 out of 1699 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Trakcja in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trakcja and its competitors. Trakcja's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Trakcja stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trakcja (WAR:TRK) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is zł1.79, compared to a current price of zł3.51 — trading 96.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Trakcja's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Trakcja (WAR:TRK), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jul. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Trakcja (WAR:TRK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trakcja stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of zł3.51 is trading 96.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of zł1.79. GuruFocus considers Trakcja to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WAR:TRK:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.83
  • GF Value™: zł1.79 vs. price of zł3.51 (96.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WAR:TRK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Trakcja Business Description

Address Al. Jerozolimskie 100 II, Warsaw, POL, 00-807
Trakcja SA is a Poland based company, engages in the infrastructure and energy construction sector. The company's operating segments include Civil engineering, Construction, engineering and concession arrangements, and Others. The civil engineering segment performs civil engineering, construction, and assembly works. It generates maximum revenue from the Civil engineering segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from Poland. Its activities include design, construction, and modernization of railway and tramway lines, red of railway and tramway electric traction and electro energy lines as well as the construction of bridges, viaducts, overpass culverts, tunnels, and others.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WAR:TRK

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł3.51
Price
zł1.79
GF Value