Trans Polonia (WAR:TRN) Beneish M-Score: -2.43 (As of Aug. 04, 2026)

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WAR:TRN Trans Polonia SA WAR:TRN
55 GF Score
Price zł13.10
GF Value zł6.29
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Trans Polonia Beneish M-Score?

Trans Polonia WAR:TRN -0.38% 55 Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Aug. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates WAR:TRN with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of zł6.29 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 968 Transportation companies, Trans Polonia ranks worse than 63.22% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.43 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Trans Polonia's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WAR:TRN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.93   Med: -2.25   Max: 17.49
Current: -2.43

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Trans Polonia was 17.49. The lowest was -3.93. And the median was -2.25.


Trans Polonia Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Trans Polonia's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Trans Polonia Beneish M-Score Chart

Trans Polonia Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.34 -2.12 -2.41 -3.09 -1.50

Trans Polonia Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.26 -3.47 -2.19 -1.50 -2.43

WAR:TRN vs ODFL, XPO, KNX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Trans Polonia's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Trans Polonia Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Trans Polonia's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Trans Polonia's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WAR:TRN
55GF Score
Trans Polonia SA WAR:TRN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Trans Polonia Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Trans Polonia for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4881+0.528 * 0.7473+0.404 * 0.8193+0.892 * 1.6114+0.115 * 1.4361
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 2.994+4.679 * -0.049827-0.327 * 1.6493
=-2.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was zł91.8 Mil.
Revenue was 123.672 + 121.182 + 55.577 + 53.76 = zł354.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14.011 + 13.332 + 5.114 + 4.624 = zł37.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł191.2 Mil.
Total Assets was zł531.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł282.4 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł30.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł15.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł149.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł182.4 Mil.
Net Income was -3.71 + 0.031 + -1.355 + -1.273 = zł-6.3 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = zł0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5.822 + 9.465 + 2.944 + 1.939 = zł20.2 Mil.
Total Receivables was zł38.3 Mil.
Revenue was 52.733 + 52.057 + 57.635 + 57.385 = zł219.8 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4.071 + 3.484 + 5.749 + 3.894 = zł17.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was zł94.2 Mil.
Total Assets was zł241.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was zł114.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was zł18.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was zł3.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was zł50.6 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was zł40.6 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(91.849 / 354.191) / (38.304 / 219.81)
=0.259321 / 0.17426
=1.4881

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(17.198 / 219.81) / (37.081 / 354.191)
=0.07824 / 0.104692
=0.7473

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (191.219 + 282.415) / 531.38) / (1 - (94.204 + 114.928) / 241.114)
=0.108672 / 0.132643
=0.8193

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=354.191 / 219.81
=1.6114

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(18.828 / (18.828 + 114.928)) / (30.691 / (30.691 + 282.415))
=0.140764 / 0.098021
=1.4361

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15.476 / 354.191) / (3.208 / 219.81)
=0.043694 / 0.014594
=2.994

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((182.41 + 149.394) / 531.38) / ((40.64 + 50.643) / 241.114)
=0.624419 / 0.378589
=1.6493

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-6.307 - 0 - 20.17) / 531.38
=-0.049827

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Trans Polonia has a M-score of -2.43 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 mean?
Trans Polonia (WAR:TRN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.43 as of Aug. 04, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trans Polonia and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Trans Polonia ranks #612 out of 968 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 63.2%.
Is Trans Polonia's Beneish M-Score too high?
Trans Polonia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Based on the distribution chart, Trans Polonia ranks #612 out of 968 companies in the Transportation industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Trans Polonia has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Trans Polonia's Beneish M-Score compare to ODFL and XPO?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Trans Polonia ranks #612 out of 968 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Trans Polonia in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Trans Polonia and its competitors. Trans Polonia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Trans Polonia stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trans Polonia (WAR:TRN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is zł6.29, compared to a current price of zł13.10 — trading 108.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.43. Trans Polonia's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Trans Polonia (WAR:TRN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.43 as of Aug. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Trans Polonia (WAR:TRN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Trans Polonia stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of zł13.10 is trading 108.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of zł6.29. GuruFocus considers Trans Polonia to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WAR:TRN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.43
  • GF Value™: zł6.29 vs. price of zł13.10 (108.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WAR:TRN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Trans Polonia Business Description

Other Exchanges T9D:Germany
Address UL Rokicka 16, Tczew, POL, 83-110
Trans Polonia SA operates as a transport and logistics company in Poland. The company is involved in transporting Liquid fuels, petrol, diesel, and liquified petroleum gas (LPG); liquid chemicals; liquid bitumen and liquid food products.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WAR:TRN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

zł13.10
Price
zł6.29
GF Value