Italgas SpA (WBO:IG) Beneish M-Score: -2.25 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


WBO:IG Italgas SpA WBO:IG
76 GF Score
Price €10.38
GF Value €8.25
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Italgas SpA Beneish M-Score?

Italgas SpA WBO:IG +1.71% 76 Beneish M-Score is -2.25 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:IG with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of €8.25 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 486 Utilities - Regulated companies, Italgas SpA ranks worse than 78.4% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.25 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Italgas SpA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:IG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.25   Med: -2   Max: -1.43
Current: -2.25

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Italgas SpA was -1.43. The lowest was -2.25. And the median was -2.00.


Italgas SpA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Italgas SpA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Italgas SpA Beneish M-Score Chart

Italgas SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00

Italgas SpA Quarterly Data
Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.43 0.00 -2.00 -2.25

WBO:IG vs ATO, NI, UGI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Italgas SpA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Italgas SpA Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Italgas SpA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Italgas SpA's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WBO:IG
76GF Score
Italgas SpA WBO:IG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Italgas SpA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Italgas SpA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8196+0.528 * 0.9794+0.404 * 1.1868+0.892 * 1.3668+0.115 * 0.9639
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.655+4.679 * -0.016004-0.327 * 0.931
=-2.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €1,066 Mil.
Revenue was 625.9 + 1793.803 + 620.1 + 937.286 = €3,977 Mil.
Gross Profit was 625.9 + 1793.803 + 620.1 + 710.419 = €3,750 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,508 Mil.
Total Assets was €17,960 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €513 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €785 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €49 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,534 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €9,794 Mil.
Net Income was 178.9 + 157.42 + 176.8 + 169.313 = €682 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 643 + 0 + 0 + 326.866 = €970 Mil.
Total Receivables was €951 Mil.
Revenue was 644.056 + 1276.944 + 402.5 + 586.376 = €2,910 Mil.
Gross Profit was 540.009 + 1276.944 + 402.5 + 467.977 = €2,687 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,860 Mil.
Total Assets was €14,209 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €390 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €546 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €54 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,275 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €7,202 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1065.7 / 3977.089) / (951.365 / 2909.876)
=0.26796 / 0.326943
=0.8196

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2687.43 / 2909.876) / (3750.222 / 3977.089)
=0.923555 / 0.942957
=0.9794

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2507.9 + 512.7) / 17960) / (1 - (3859.928 + 390.354) / 14208.528)
=0.831815 / 0.700864
=1.1868

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3977.089 / 2909.876
=1.3668

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(545.749 / (545.749 + 390.354)) / (784.807 / (784.807 + 512.7))
=0.583001 / 0.604858
=0.9639

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(48.501 / 3977.089) / (54.175 / 2909.876)
=0.012195 / 0.018618
=0.655

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9793.9 + 2534.2) / 17960) / ((7201.568 + 3274.638) / 14208.528)
=0.68642 / 0.737318
=0.931

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(682.433 - 0 - 969.866) / 17960
=-0.016004

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Italgas SpA has a M-score of -2.25 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.25 mean?
Italgas SpA (WBO:IG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.25 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Italgas SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Italgas SpA ranks #381 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 78.4%.
Is Italgas SpA's Beneish M-Score too high?
Italgas SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.25. Based on the distribution chart, Italgas SpA ranks #381 out of 486 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Italgas SpA has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Italgas SpA's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Italgas SpA ranks #381 out of 486 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Italgas SpA in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Italgas SpA and its competitors. Italgas SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -2.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Italgas SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Italgas SpA (WBO:IG) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €8.25, compared to a current price of €10.38 — trading 25.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.25. Italgas SpA's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Italgas SpA (WBO:IG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.25 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Italgas SpA (WBO:IG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Italgas SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €10.38 is trading 25.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €8.25. GuruFocus considers Italgas SpA to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:IG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.25
  • GF Value™: €8.25 vs. price of €10.38 (25.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:IG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Italgas SpA Business Description

Address Via Carlo Bo 11, Milano, ITA, 20143
Italgas SpA is an Italy-based company engaged in the business of natural gas distribution. The distribution service consists of transporting gas through local pipeline networks, from points of delivery at the reduction and measurement stations interconnected with the transport networks up to the final delivery points to customers. In addition, the company is also engaged in metering activities, which consist of determining, gathering, making available, and archiving metering data on natural gas withdrawn over the distribution networks. It derives a majority of its revenue from natural gas distribution activity. The other activities of the company are the distribution and sale of water and providing technical, engineering, IT assistance, and other services.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:IG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€10.38
Price
€8.25
GF Value