Lottomatica Group SpA (WBO:LTMC) Beneish M-Score: -4.33 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


WBO:LTMC Lottomatica Group SpA WBO:LTMC
56 GF Score
Price €25.21
GF Value €17.73
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Lottomatica Group SpA Beneish M-Score?

Lottomatica Group SpA WBO:LTMC -0.32% 56 Beneish M-Score is -4.33 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:LTMC with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of €17.73 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Travel & Leisure companies, Lottomatica Group SpA ranks better than 96.36% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.33 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lottomatica Group SpA's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:LTMC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.33   Med: -3.08   Max: -2.65
Current: -4.33

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lottomatica Group SpA was -2.65. The lowest was -4.33. And the median was -3.08.


Lottomatica Group SpA Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lottomatica Group SpA's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lottomatica Group SpA Beneish M-Score Chart

Lottomatica Group SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 -3.30 -3.03 -3.08

Lottomatica Group SpA Quarterly Data
Dec20 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.94 -2.98 -3.08 -4.33

WBO:LTMC vs FLUT, DKNG, LNWO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, Lottomatica Group SpA's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lottomatica Group SpA Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lottomatica Group SpA's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lottomatica Group SpA's Beneish M-Score falls into.


WBO:LTMC
56GF Score
Lottomatica Group SpA WBO:LTMC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lottomatica Group SpA Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lottomatica Group SpA for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8145+0.528 * 0.9526+0.404 * 1.0391+0.892 * 1.0527+0.115 * 0.9847
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0695+4.679 * -0.129829-0.327 * 4.3393
=-4.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €115 Mil.
Revenue was 599.975 + 612.712 + 509.623 + 540.233 = €2,263 Mil.
Gross Profit was 307.3 + -271.874 + 432.595 + 762.083 = €1,230 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €388 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,461 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €222 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €266 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €97 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €777 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,031 Mil.
Net Income was 66.457 + 80.985 + 28.478 + 14.546 = €190 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 187.837 + 136.494 + 85.591 + 229.909 = €640 Mil.
Total Receivables was €134 Mil.
Revenue was 584.548 + 587.3 + 485.618 + 491.728 = €2,149 Mil.
Gross Profit was 287.626 + -252.696 + 418.042 + 660.131 = €1,113 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €540 Mil.
Total Assets was €3,673 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €221 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €257 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €87 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €687 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(114.69 / 2262.543) / (133.753 / 2149.194)
=0.050691 / 0.062234
=0.8145

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1113.103 / 2149.194) / (1230.104 / 2262.543)
=0.517916 / 0.543682
=0.9526

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (388.493 + 221.621) / 3461.207) / (1 - (540.073 + 221.237) / 3673.391)
=0.823728 / 0.79275
=1.0391

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2262.543 / 2149.194
=1.0527

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(256.744 / (256.744 + 221.237)) / (265.977 / (265.977 + 221.621))
=0.537143 / 0.545484
=0.9847

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(97.49 / 2262.543) / (86.586 / 2149.194)
=0.043089 / 0.040288
=1.0695

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2030.655 + 777.154) / 3461.207) / ((0 + 686.74) / 3673.391)
=0.811223 / 0.18695
=4.3393

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(190.466 - 0 - 639.831) / 3461.207
=-0.129829

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lottomatica Group SpA has a M-score of -4.33 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -4.33 mean?
Lottomatica Group SpA (WBO:LTMC) has a Beneish M-Score of -4.33 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lottomatica Group SpA and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Lottomatica Group SpA ranks #30 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 3.6%.
Is Lottomatica Group SpA's Beneish M-Score too high?
Lottomatica Group SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -4.33. Based on the distribution chart, Lottomatica Group SpA ranks #30 out of 824 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Lottomatica Group SpA has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lottomatica Group SpA's Beneish M-Score compare to FLUT and DKNG?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Lottomatica Group SpA ranks #30 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Lottomatica Group SpA in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lottomatica Group SpA and its competitors. Lottomatica Group SpA's current Beneish M-Score is -4.33. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lottomatica Group SpA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lottomatica Group SpA (WBO:LTMC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €17.73, compared to a current price of €25.21 — trading 42.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -4.33. Lottomatica Group SpA's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lottomatica Group SpA (WBO:LTMC), the current Beneish M-Score is -4.33 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lottomatica Group SpA (WBO:LTMC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lottomatica Group SpA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €25.21 is trading 42.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of €17.73. GuruFocus considers Lottomatica Group SpA to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:LTMC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -4.33
  • GF Value™: €17.73 vs. price of €25.21 (42.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:LTMC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lottomatica Group SpA Business Description

Address Via degli Aldobrandeschi, 300, Rome, ITA, 00163
Lottomatica Group SpA is an operator on the gaming market authorized by the Customs and Monopolies Agency. The group operates in various sectors namely Online (sports betting and online games); Betting (sports bets and games on a physical network); Gaming (AWP and VLT entertainment machines, direct management of gaming halls and proprietary AWPs) and d VLT (video lottery terminals) entertainment device networks and management of owned gaming halls and AWPs (Gaming Franchise).
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:LTMC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€25.21
Price
€17.73
GF Value