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Spotify Technology (WBO:SPOT) Beneish M-Score : -2.72 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Spotify Technology Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.72 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spotify Technology's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WBO:SPOT' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.17   Med: -2.8   Max: -1.34
Current: -2.72

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Spotify Technology was -1.34. The lowest was -3.17. And the median was -2.80.


Spotify Technology Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Spotify Technology's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Spotify Technology Beneish M-Score Chart

Spotify Technology Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -3.15 -2.49 -2.97 -2.83 -2.86

Spotify Technology Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.76 -2.86 -2.53 -2.54 -2.72

Competitive Comparison of Spotify Technology's Beneish M-Score

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Spotify Technology's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spotify Technology's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Spotify Technology's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spotify Technology's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Spotify Technology Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Spotify Technology for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8672+0.528 * 0.8796+0.404 * 0.9849+0.892 * 1.1852+0.115 * 0.9755
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.764+4.679 * -0.079219-0.327 * 0.7806
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €776 Mil.
Revenue was 3988 + 3807 + 3636 + 3671 = €15,102 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1240 + 1112 + 1004 + 980 = €4,336 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €7,003 Mil.
Total Assets was €10,553 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €430 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €125 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,945 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4,106 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,786 Mil.
Net Income was 300 + 274 + 197 + -70 = €701 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -111 + -43 + -35 + -89 = €-278 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 715 + 492 + 211 + 397 = €1,815 Mil.
Total Receivables was €755 Mil.
Revenue was 3357 + 3177 + 3042 + 3166 = €12,742 Mil.
Gross Profit was 885 + 766 + 766 + 801 = €3,218 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,695 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,592 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €618 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €174 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,148 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,701 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,729 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(776 / 15102) / (755 / 12742)
=0.051384 / 0.059253
=0.8672

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3218 / 12742) / (4336 / 15102)
=0.252551 / 0.287114
=0.8796

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7003 + 430) / 10553) / (1 - (4695 + 618) / 7592)
=0.295651 / 0.300184
=0.9849

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=15102 / 12742
=1.1852

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(174 / (174 + 618)) / (125 / (125 + 430))
=0.219697 / 0.225225
=0.9755

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1945 / 15102) / (2148 / 12742)
=0.128791 / 0.168576
=0.764

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1786 + 4106) / 10553) / ((1729 + 3701) / 7592)
=0.558325 / 0.715227
=0.7806

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(701 - -278 - 1815) / 10553
=-0.079219

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Spotify Technology has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Spotify Technology Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Spotify Technology Business Description

Address
5, Place de la Gare, Luxembourg, LUX, L-1616
Spotify is the leading global music streaming service provider, with over 600 million monthly active users and 250 million paying subscribers, with the latter comprising the firm's premium segment. most of the firm's revenue and nearly all its gross profit come from the subscribers, who pay a monthly fee to access a very comprehensive music library that consists of most of the most popular songs ever recorded, including all from the major record labels. The firm also sells separate audiobook subscriptions and integrates podcasts within its standard music app. Podcast content is not exclusive and is typically free to access on other platforms. Ad-supported users can access a similar music catalog but cannot customize a similar on-demand experience.