Progres a.d (XBEL:PRGS) Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (As of Jul. 27, 2026)

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XBEL:PRGS Progres a.d XBEL:PRGS
43 GF Score
Price RSD12.00
GF Value RSD7.41
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Progres a.d Beneish M-Score?

Progres a.d XBEL:PRGS 43 Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates XBEL:PRGS with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of RSD7.41 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 539 Conglomerates companies, Progres a.d ranks better than 74.95% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Progres a.d's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XBEL:PRGS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.23   Med: -2.25   Max: 2.21
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Progres a.d was 2.21. The lowest was -3.23. And the median was -2.25.


Progres a.d Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Progres a.d's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Progres a.d Beneish M-Score Chart

Progres a.d Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.82 -1.09 -0.27 -1.92 -2.75

Progres a.d Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.27 0.00 -1.92 0.00 -2.75

XBEL:PRGS vs MMM, HON: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Progres a.d's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progres a.d Beneish M-Score vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Progres a.d's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progres a.d's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XBEL:PRGS
43GF Score
Progres a.d XBEL:PRGS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Progres a.d Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Progres a.d for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2773+0.528 * 0.7244+0.404 * 1.0075+0.892 * 0.8332+0.115 * 0.7646
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.035451-0.327 * 1.1192
=-2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was RSD37.66 Mil.
Revenue was RSD9.45 Mil.
Gross Profit was RSD-19.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was RSD75.22 Mil.
Total Assets was RSD3,565.69 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was RSD3,346.12 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was RSD68.57 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was RSD0.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was RSD671.65 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was RSD0.00 Mil.
Net Income was RSD-123.06 Mil.
Gross Profit was RSD0.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was RSD3.34 Mil.
Total Receivables was RSD35.39 Mil.
Revenue was RSD11.34 Mil.
Gross Profit was RSD-16.52 Mil.
Total Current Assets was RSD70.51 Mil.
Total Assets was RSD3,631.09 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was RSD3,414.69 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was RSD53.25 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was RSD0.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was RSD611.14 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was RSD0.00 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(37.661 / 9.45) / (35.389 / 11.342)
=3.985291 / 3.120173
=1.2773

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(-16.519 / 11.342) / (-18.999 / 9.45)
=-1.456445 / -2.010476
=0.7244

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (75.221 + 3346.121) / 3565.689) / (1 - (70.511 + 3414.687) / 3631.094)
=0.040482 / 0.04018
=1.0075

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9.45 / 11.342
=0.8332

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(53.245 / (53.245 + 3414.687)) / (68.567 / (68.567 + 3346.121))
=0.015354 / 0.02008
=0.7646

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 9.45) / (0 / 11.342)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 671.654) / 3565.689) / ((0 + 611.136) / 3631.094)
=0.188366 / 0.168306
=1.1192

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-123.062 - 0 - 3.344) / 3565.689
=-0.035451

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Progres a.d has a M-score of -2.75 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 mean?
Progres a.d (XBEL:PRGS) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 as of Jul. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Progres a.d and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Progres a.d ranks #135 out of 539 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 25%.
Is Progres a.d's Beneish M-Score too high?
Progres a.d's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Based on the distribution chart, Progres a.d ranks #135 out of 539 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Progres a.d has a GF Score™ of 43/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Progres a.d's Beneish M-Score compare to MMM and HON?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Progres a.d ranks #135 out of 539 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Progres a.d in the top 25% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Conglomerates company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Progres a.d and its competitors. Progres a.d's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Progres a.d stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Progres a.d (XBEL:PRGS) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is RSD7.41, compared to a current price of RSD12.00 — trading 61.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Progres a.d's overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Progres a.d (XBEL:PRGS), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Progres a.d (XBEL:PRGS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Progres a.d stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of RSD12.00 is trading 61.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of RSD7.41. GuruFocus considers Progres a.d to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XBEL:PRGS:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.75
  • GF Value™: RSD7.41 vs. price of RSD12.00 (61.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XBEL:PRGS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Progres a.d Business Description

Address Ulica Zmaj Jovina Number 8-10, Belgrade, SRB
Progres a.d is a wholesaler of solid, liquid, gaseous fuels and related products.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XBEL:PRGS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RSD12.00
Price
RSD7.41
GF Value