Bayan Sulu JSC (XKAZ:BSUL) Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (As of Aug. 23, 2026)

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XKAZ:BSUL Bayan Sulu JSC XKAZ:BSUL
57 GF Score
Price ₸439.00
GF Value ₸265.73
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Bayan Sulu JSC Beneish M-Score?

Bayan Sulu JSC XKAZ:BSUL +8.13% 57 Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Aug. 23, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKAZ:BSUL with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of ₸265.73 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,864 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Bayan Sulu JSC ranks worse than 77.9% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bayan Sulu JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XKAZ:BSUL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.39   Med: -2.05   Max: -0.54
Current: -1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bayan Sulu JSC was -0.54. The lowest was -3.39. And the median was -2.05.


Bayan Sulu JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bayan Sulu JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bayan Sulu JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

Bayan Sulu JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.74 -2.04 -2.13 -1.51 -1.74

Bayan Sulu JSC Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.66 -2.07 -1.56 -1.74 -1.99

XKAZ:BSUL vs MDLZ, HSY, TR: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Confectioners subindustry, Bayan Sulu JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bayan Sulu JSC Beneish M-Score vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Bayan Sulu JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bayan Sulu JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XKAZ:BSUL
57GF Score
Bayan Sulu JSC XKAZ:BSUL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bayan Sulu JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bayan Sulu JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0123+0.528 * 1.0197+0.404 * 0.9845+0.892 * 1.1665+0.115 * 1.179
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7923+4.679 * 0.053748-0.327 * 0.9498
=-1.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₸10,949 Mil.
Revenue was 11650.028 + 16963 + 12462.46 + 12428.555 = ₸53,504 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2692.87 + 3571.09 + 1433.66 + 3343.096 = ₸11,041 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₸49,885 Mil.
Total Assets was ₸66,282 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₸13,530 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₸365 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₸2,628 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₸9,378 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₸5,257 Mil.
Net Income was 2041.41 + 2512.293 + 735.717 + 1033.384 = ₸6,323 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₸0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3278.844 + 2031.639 + -4290.546 + 1740.333 = ₸2,760 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₸9,271 Mil.
Revenue was 9932.124 + 13476.117 + 11716.894 + 10740.738 = ₸45,866 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2401.673 + 1805.042 + 2689.72 + 2754.449 = ₸9,651 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₸43,859 Mil.
Total Assets was ₸57,596 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₸11,206 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₸358 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₸2,843 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₸11,082 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₸2,307 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10948.551 / 53504.043) / (9271.134 / 45865.873)
=0.20463 / 0.202136
=1.0123

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9650.884 / 45865.873) / (11040.716 / 53504.043)
=0.210415 / 0.206353
=1.0197

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (49884.845 + 13529.549) / 66282.218) / (1 - (43859.177 + 11205.68) / 57596.222)
=0.043267 / 0.04395
=0.9845

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=53504.043 / 45865.873
=1.1665

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(358.437 / (358.437 + 11205.68)) / (365.276 / (365.276 + 13529.549))
=0.030996 / 0.026289
=1.179

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2628.032 / 53504.043) / (2843.424 / 45865.873)
=0.049118 / 0.061994
=0.7923

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5256.769 + 9377.845) / 66282.218) / ((2306.561 + 11082.488) / 57596.222)
=0.220792 / 0.232464
=0.9498

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6322.804 - 0 - 2760.27) / 66282.218
=0.053748

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bayan Sulu JSC has a M-score of -1.99 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 mean?
Bayan Sulu JSC (XKAZ:BSUL) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 as of Aug. 23, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bayan Sulu JSC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Bayan Sulu JSC ranks #1452 out of 1864 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 77.9%.
Is Bayan Sulu JSC's Beneish M-Score too high?
Bayan Sulu JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Based on the distribution chart, Bayan Sulu JSC ranks #1452 out of 1864 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Bayan Sulu JSC has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bayan Sulu JSC's Beneish M-Score compare to MDLZ and HSY?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Bayan Sulu JSC ranks #1452 out of 1864 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Bayan Sulu JSC in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bayan Sulu JSC and its competitors. Bayan Sulu JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bayan Sulu JSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bayan Sulu JSC (XKAZ:BSUL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₸265.73, compared to a current price of ₸439.00 — trading 65.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Bayan Sulu JSC's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bayan Sulu JSC (XKAZ:BSUL), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Aug. 23, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bayan Sulu JSC (XKAZ:BSUL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bayan Sulu JSC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₸439.00 is trading 65.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₸265.73. GuruFocus considers Bayan Sulu JSC to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XKAZ:BSUL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.99
  • GF Value™: ₸265.73 vs. price of ₸439.00 (65.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKAZ:BSUL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bayan Sulu JSC Business Description

Address 198 Borodin Street, Kostanay, KAZ, 110006
Bayan Sulu JSC is a Kazakhstan-based company mainly engaged in the production, wholesale, and retail sale of confectionery products. Additionally, it also trades in other goods, including flour, wheat, sugar, etc. The company's product offerings include biscuits, chocolates, pastries, waffles, marshmallows, and other confectionery items. It operates in two segments: production and sale of confectionery products, which generate maximum revenue; and the sale of goods purchased from related parties (flour, wheat, etc). Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from Kazakhstan, followed by Russia, Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and other countries.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKAZ:BSUL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₸439.00
Price
₸265.73
GF Value