KazTransOil JSC (XKAZ:KZTO) Beneish M-Score: -2.65 (As of Sep. 13, 2026)

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XKAZ:KZTO KazTransOil JSC XKAZ:KZTO
80 GF Score
Price ₸1,214.00
GF Value ₸1,059.23
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is KazTransOil JSC Beneish M-Score?

KazTransOil JSC XKAZ:KZTO -1.18% 80 Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKAZ:KZTO with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of ₸1,059.23 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 830 Oil & Gas companies, KazTransOil JSC ranks better than 51.93% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for KazTransOil JSC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XKAZ:KZTO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.4   Med: -2.62   Max: -0.62
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KazTransOil JSC was -0.62. The lowest was -3.40. And the median was -2.62.


KazTransOil JSC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for KazTransOil JSC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

KazTransOil JSC Beneish M-Score Chart

KazTransOil JSC Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.82 -2.15 -2.79 -2.60 -2.67

KazTransOil JSC Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 -2.56 -2.67 -1.94 -2.65

XKAZ:KZTO vs WMB, EPD, ET: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, KazTransOil JSC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KazTransOil JSC Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, KazTransOil JSC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KazTransOil JSC's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XKAZ:KZTO
80GF Score
KazTransOil JSC XKAZ:KZTO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

KazTransOil JSC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of KazTransOil JSC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9368+0.528 * 0.8664+0.404 * 1.0628+0.892 * 1.1549+0.115 * 0.9302
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9227+4.679 * -0.050826-0.327 * 0.9203
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₸16,910 Mil.
Revenue was 90867.265 + 89047.718 + 103328.739 + 91001.891 = ₸374,246 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14169.478 + 14941.421 + 21674.639 + 21119.668 = ₸71,905 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₸179,376 Mil.
Total Assets was ₸1,525,206 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₸1,189,044 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₸78,454 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₸2,393 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₸116,034 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₸83,916 Mil.
Net Income was 12489.837 + 16914.712 + 6479.071 + 17575.43 = ₸53,459 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₸0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 30541.566 + 31642.37 + 29738.598 + 39057.05 = ₸130,980 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₸15,629 Mil.
Revenue was 85083.352 + 78064.349 + 81839.619 + 79051.295 = ₸324,039 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17336.874 + 10903.535 + 10772.284 + 14927.357 = ₸53,940 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₸151,771 Mil.
Total Assets was ₸1,364,208 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₸1,080,482 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₸66,007 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₸2,246 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₸108,079 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₸86,263 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(16909.592 / 374245.613) / (15629.009 / 324038.615)
=0.045183 / 0.048232
=0.9368

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(53940.05 / 324038.615) / (71905.206 / 374245.613)
=0.166462 / 0.192134
=0.8664

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (179375.893 + 1189043.722) / 1525205.832) / (1 - (151771.434 + 1080482.034) / 1364207.73)
=0.102797 / 0.096726
=1.0628

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=374245.613 / 324038.615
=1.1549

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(66007.088 / (66007.088 + 1080482.034)) / (78453.618 / (78453.618 + 1189043.722))
=0.057573 / 0.061896
=0.9302

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2392.985 / 374245.613) / (2245.612 / 324038.615)
=0.006394 / 0.00693
=0.9227

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((83915.793 + 116033.755) / 1525205.832) / ((86263.046 + 108078.925) / 1364207.73)
=0.131097 / 0.142458
=0.9203

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(53459.05 - 0 - 130979.584) / 1525205.832
=-0.050826

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

KazTransOil JSC has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 mean?
KazTransOil JSC (XKAZ:KZTO) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.65 as of Sep. 13, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on KazTransOil JSC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, KazTransOil JSC ranks #399 out of 830 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 48.1%.
Is KazTransOil JSC's Beneish M-Score too high?
KazTransOil JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. Based on the distribution chart, KazTransOil JSC ranks #399 out of 830 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, KazTransOil JSC has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does KazTransOil JSC's Beneish M-Score compare to WMB and EPD?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, KazTransOil JSC ranks #399 out of 830 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts KazTransOil JSC in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on KazTransOil JSC and its competitors. KazTransOil JSC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is KazTransOil JSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, KazTransOil JSC (XKAZ:KZTO) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₸1,059.23, compared to a current price of ₸1,214.00 — trading 14.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.65. KazTransOil JSC's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For KazTransOil JSC (XKAZ:KZTO), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.65 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is KazTransOil JSC (XKAZ:KZTO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, KazTransOil JSC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₸1,214.00 is trading 14.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₸1,059.23. GuruFocus considers KazTransOil JSC to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XKAZ:KZTO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.65
  • GF Value™: ₸1,059.23 vs. price of ₸1,214.00 (14.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKAZ:KZTO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


KazTransOil JSC Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 20, Turan Avenue, Non-Residential Premises 12, Esil District, Astana, KAZ, 010000
KazTransOil JSC provides oil transportation services. The company aims at the development and integration of a network of Kazakhstan's main pipelines, enhancement of reliability of existing and construction of new oil transportation facilities. The group is organized into business units based on its services and has various reportable segments namely Oil transportation and related services; Oil transshipment, Water transportation, and Other segments. KazTransOil derives majority of its revenue from Oil transportation and related services.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKAZ:KZTO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₸1,214.00
Price
₸1,059.23
GF Value