Naturgy Energy Group (XMAD:NTGY) Beneish M-Score: -2.93 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


XMAD:NTGY Naturgy Energy Group SA XMAD:NTGY
66 GF Score
Price €27.80
GF Value €22.64
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Naturgy Energy Group Beneish M-Score?

Naturgy Energy Group XMAD:NTGY +0.94% 66 Beneish M-Score is -2.93 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates XMAD:NTGY with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of €22.64 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 485 Utilities - Regulated companies, Naturgy Energy Group ranks better than 85.36% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.93 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Naturgy Energy Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XMAD:NTGY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.54   Med: -2.71   Max: -1.53
Current: -2.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Naturgy Energy Group was -1.53. The lowest was -3.54. And the median was -2.71.


Naturgy Energy Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Naturgy Energy Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Naturgy Energy Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Naturgy Energy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.53 -2.36 -3.54 -2.70 -2.93

Naturgy Energy Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.54 0.00 -2.70 0.00 -2.93

XMAD:NTGY vs ATO, NI, UGI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Naturgy Energy Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Naturgy Energy Group Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Naturgy Energy Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Naturgy Energy Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XMAD:NTGY
66GF Score
Naturgy Energy Group SA XMAD:NTGY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Naturgy Energy Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Naturgy Energy Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8068+0.528 * 1.0146+0.404 * 1.0293+0.892 * 1.0098+0.115 * 0.9538
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9867+4.679 * -0.063988-0.327 * 0.9861
=-2.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €2,941 Mil.
Revenue was €19,455 Mil.
Gross Profit was €7,273 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €9,422 Mil.
Total Assets was €39,101 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €20,420 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,601 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €273 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,018 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €13,992 Mil.
Net Income was €2,023 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €4,525 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,610 Mil.
Revenue was €19,267 Mil.
Gross Profit was €7,308 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €10,745 Mil.
Total Assets was €40,836 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €20,696 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,542 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €274 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,229 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €15,081 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2941 / 19455) / (3610 / 19267)
=0.151169 / 0.187367
=0.8068

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7308 / 19267) / (7273 / 19455)
=0.379301 / 0.373837
=1.0146

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9422 + 20420) / 39101) / (1 - (10745 + 20696) / 40836)
=0.236797 / 0.230067
=1.0293

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19455 / 19267
=1.0098

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1542 / (1542 + 20696)) / (1601 / (1601 + 20420))
=0.069341 / 0.072703
=0.9538

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(273 / 19455) / (274 / 19267)
=0.014032 / 0.014221
=0.9867

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13992 + 8018) / 39101) / ((15081 + 8229) / 40836)
=0.562901 / 0.57082
=0.9861

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2023 - 0 - 4525) / 39101
=-0.063988

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Naturgy Energy Group has a M-score of -2.93 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.93 mean?
Naturgy Energy Group (XMAD:NTGY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.93 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Naturgy Energy Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Naturgy Energy Group ranks #71 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, placing it in the top 14.6%.
Is Naturgy Energy Group's Beneish M-Score too high?
Naturgy Energy Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.93. Based on the distribution chart, Naturgy Energy Group ranks #71 out of 485 companies in the Utilities - Regulated industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Naturgy Energy Group has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Naturgy Energy Group's Beneish M-Score compare to ATO and NI?
According to the Utilities - Regulated industry distribution chart, Naturgy Energy Group ranks #71 out of 485 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Naturgy Energy Group in the top 15% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Regulated company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Regulated industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Naturgy Energy Group and its competitors. Naturgy Energy Group's current Beneish M-Score is -2.93. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Naturgy Energy Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Naturgy Energy Group (XMAD:NTGY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €22.64, compared to a current price of €27.80 — trading 22.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.93. Naturgy Energy Group's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Naturgy Energy Group (XMAD:NTGY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.93 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Naturgy Energy Group (XMAD:NTGY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Naturgy Energy Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €27.80 is trading 22.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €22.64. GuruFocus considers Naturgy Energy Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XMAD:NTGY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.93
  • GF Value™: €22.64 vs. price of €27.80 (22.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XMAD:NTGY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Naturgy Energy Group Business Description

Address Avenida de America 38, Madrid, ESP
Naturgy stems from the 2008 acquisition of Union Fenosa. The company operates across the gas value chain, from procurement to distribution and marketing. It owns and operates the largest gas distribution network in Spain, where it is also the leading retail gas supplier. The company additionally operates gas and electricity distribution networks across several Latin American countries. It owns 17.9 GW of generation capacity, including 7.3 GW of wind and solar.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XMAD:NTGY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€27.80
Price
€22.64
GF Value