Butwal Power Co (XNEP:BPCL) Beneish M-Score: -2.08 (As of Jul. 22, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XNEP:BPCL Butwal Power Co Ltd XNEP:BPCL
85 GF Score
Price NPR673.00
GF Value NPR725.85
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Butwal Power Co Beneish M-Score?

Butwal Power Co XNEP:BPCL -0.30% 85 Beneish M-Score is -2.08 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates XNEP:BPCL with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of NPR725.85 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 393 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Butwal Power Co ranks worse than 77.35% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Butwal Power Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XNEP:BPCL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.01   Max: -0.76
Current: -2.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Butwal Power Co was -0.76. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.01.


Butwal Power Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Butwal Power Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Butwal Power Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Butwal Power Co Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.27 -2.61 -2.67 -2.87 -2.08

Butwal Power Co Quarterly Data
Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.08 0.00 0.00

Butwal Power Co Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Butwal Power Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Butwal Power Co Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Butwal Power Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Butwal Power Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XNEP:BPCL
85GF Score
Butwal Power Co Ltd XNEP:BPCL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Butwal Power Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Butwal Power Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8358+0.528 * 1.3189+0.404 * 0.9978+0.892 * 1.5768+0.115 * 0.9714
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6528+4.679 * -0.030388-0.327 * 1.144
=-2.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jul25) TTM:Last Year (Jul24) TTM:
Total Receivables was NPR944 Mil.
Revenue was NPR4,715 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR902 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NPR2,506 Mil.
Total Assets was NPR18,055 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NPR814 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NPR380 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NPR280 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NPR3,113 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NPR5,997 Mil.
Net Income was NPR189 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was NPR737 Mil.
Total Receivables was NPR717 Mil.
Revenue was NPR2,990 Mil.
Gross Profit was NPR755 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NPR2,060 Mil.
Total Assets was NPR15,859 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NPR827 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NPR370 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NPR272 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NPR2,383 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NPR4,612 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(944.33 / 4715.187) / (716.573 / 2990.335)
=0.200274 / 0.23963
=0.8358

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(754.61 / 2990.335) / (902.19 / 4715.187)
=0.25235 / 0.191337
=1.3189

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2505.725 + 813.678) / 18055.421) / (1 - (2060.33 + 826.857) / 15858.651)
=0.816155 / 0.817942
=0.9978

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4715.187 / 2990.335
=1.5768

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(370.065 / (370.065 + 826.857)) / (379.906 / (379.906 + 813.678))
=0.309181 / 0.31829
=0.9714

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(280.299 / 4715.187) / (272.296 / 2990.335)
=0.059446 / 0.091059
=0.6528

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5997.259 + 3113.208) / 18055.421) / ((4611.903 + 2382.715) / 15858.651)
=0.504583 / 0.44106
=1.144

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(188.709 - 0 - 737.386) / 18055.421
=-0.030388

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Butwal Power Co has a M-score of -2.08 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.08 mean?
Butwal Power Co (XNEP:BPCL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.08 as of Jul. 22, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Butwal Power Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Butwal Power Co ranks #304 out of 393 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 77.4%.
Is Butwal Power Co's Beneish M-Score too high?
Butwal Power Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.08. Based on the distribution chart, Butwal Power Co ranks #304 out of 393 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Butwal Power Co has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Butwal Power Co's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Butwal Power Co ranks #304 out of 393 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Butwal Power Co in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Butwal Power Co and its competitors. Butwal Power Co's current Beneish M-Score is -2.08. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Butwal Power Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Butwal Power Co (XNEP:BPCL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is NPR725.85, compared to a current price of NPR673.00 — trading 7.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.08. Butwal Power Co's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Butwal Power Co (XNEP:BPCL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.08 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Butwal Power Co (XNEP:BPCL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Butwal Power Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of NPR673.00 is trading 7.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of NPR725.85. GuruFocus considers Butwal Power Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for XNEP:BPCL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.08
  • GF Value™: NPR725.85 vs. price of NPR673.00 (7.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XNEP:BPCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Butwal Power Co Business Description

Address Gangadevi Marga - 313, P.O. Box: 11728, Buddha Nagar, Kathmandu, NPL
Butwal Power Co Ltd is engaged in generation and distribution of electricity. The company is engaged in the development, operation, and maintenance of hydropower plants, engineering and design consultancy of hydropower and infrastructure projects, and manufacturing and repair of hydro-mechanical and electro-mechanical equipment for power plants through its subsidiary companies.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XNEP:BPCL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

NPR673.00
Price
NPR725.85
GF Value