Michelin (XPAR:ML) Beneish M-Score: -2.81 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


XPAR:ML Michelin XPAR:ML
83 GF Score
Price €33.57
GF Value €30.15
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Michelin Beneish M-Score?

Michelin XPAR:ML +2.75% 83 Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates XPAR:ML with a GF Score™ of 83/100 and a GF Value™ of €30.15 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,273 Vehicles & Parts companies, Michelin ranks better than 75.49% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.81 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Michelin's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XPAR:ML' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.1   Med: -2.64   Max: -2.23
Current: -2.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Michelin was -2.23. The lowest was -3.10. And the median was -2.64.


Michelin Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Michelin's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Michelin Beneish M-Score Chart

Michelin Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.23 -2.96 -2.89 -2.81

Michelin Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.96 0.00 -2.89 0.00 -2.81

XPAR:ML vs ORLY, AZO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Michelin's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Michelin Beneish M-Score vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Michelin's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Michelin's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XPAR:ML
83GF Score
Michelin XPAR:ML
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Michelin Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Michelin for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9629+0.528 * 1.0551+0.404 * 1.0001+0.892 * 0.9558+0.115 * 0.9722
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0303+4.679 * -0.061511-0.327 * 0.9766
=-2.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,466 Mil.
Revenue was €25,992 Mil.
Gross Profit was €7,019 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €14,271 Mil.
Total Assets was €35,018 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €13,217 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,036 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €3,441 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €7,503 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,754 Mil.
Net Income was €1,665 Mil.
Gross Profit was €0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was €3,819 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,766 Mil.
Revenue was €27,193 Mil.
Gross Profit was €7,748 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €15,339 Mil.
Total Assets was €37,352 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €13,982 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,085 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €3,494 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,710 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,769 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3466 / 25992) / (3766 / 27193)
=0.133349 / 0.138492
=0.9629

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7748 / 27193) / (7019 / 25992)
=0.284926 / 0.270045
=1.0551

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14271 + 13217) / 35018) / (1 - (15339 + 13982) / 37352)
=0.215032 / 0.215009
=1.0001

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25992 / 27193
=0.9558

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2085 / (2085 + 13982)) / (2036 / (2036 + 13217))
=0.129769 / 0.133482
=0.9722

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3441 / 25992) / (3494 / 27193)
=0.132387 / 0.128489
=1.0303

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5754 + 7503) / 35018) / ((5769 + 8710) / 37352)
=0.378577 / 0.387637
=0.9766

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1665 - 0 - 3819) / 35018
=-0.061511

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Michelin has a M-score of -2.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 mean?
Michelin (XPAR:ML) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Michelin and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Michelin ranks #312 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, placing it in the top 24.5%.
Is Michelin's Beneish M-Score too high?
Michelin's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Based on the distribution chart, Michelin ranks #312 out of 1273 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Michelin has a GF Score™ of 83/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Michelin's Beneish M-Score compare to ORLY and AZO?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, Michelin ranks #312 out of 1273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Michelin in the top 25% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Michelin and its competitors. Michelin's current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Michelin stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Michelin (XPAR:ML) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €30.15, compared to a current price of €33.57 — trading 11.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.81. Michelin's overall GF Score™ is 83/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Michelin (XPAR:ML), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.81 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Michelin (XPAR:ML) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Michelin stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €33.57 is trading 11.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €30.15. GuruFocus considers Michelin to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XPAR:ML:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.81
  • GF Value™: €30.15 vs. price of €33.57 (11.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 83/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XPAR:ML stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Michelin Business Description

Address 23, Place des Carmes, Dechaux, Puy-de-Dome, Clermont-Ferrand, FRA, 63000
Michelin manufactures tires for passenger vehicles. The company also makes tires for all types of commercial vehicles as well as bicycle, motorcycle, earthmover, aviation, and agricultural tires. Its operations are organized into three operating segments namely Automotive and two-wheel; Road transportation; and Specialty businesses. The company generates maximum revenue from Automotive segments. The Specialty businesses include the Mining, Beyond-road, Two-wheel and Aircraft tire activities, as well as the High-Tech Materials activities. The Services & Solutions businesses are included for the majority part in the Road transportation and related distribution segment.
83GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XPAR:ML

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€33.57
Price
€30.15
GF Value