KGHM Polska Miedz (XPRA:KGH) Beneish M-Score: -1.50 (As of Jul. 01, 2026)


XPRA:KGH KGHM Polska Miedz SA XPRA:KGH
90 GF Score
Price Kč1,861.00
GF Value Kč900.85
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score?

KGHM Polska Miedz XPRA:KGH 90 Beneish M-Score is -1.50 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates XPRA:KGH with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of Kč900.85 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 683 Metals & Mining companies, KGHM Polska Miedz ranks worse than 76.72% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.5 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XPRA:KGH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.3   Med: -2.73   Max: 1.91
Current: -1.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KGHM Polska Miedz was 1.91. The lowest was -4.30. And the median was -2.73.


KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score Chart

KGHM Polska Miedz Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.80 -2.09 1.71 -2.70 -2.30

KGHM Polska Miedz Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.48 -2.99 -2.90 -2.30 -1.50

XPRA:KGH vs SCCO, FCX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Copper subindustry, KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XPRA:KGH
90GF Score
KGHM Polska Miedz SA XPRA:KGH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

KGHM Polska Miedz Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of KGHM Polska Miedz for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7783+0.528 * 0.7861+0.404 * 1.0485+0.892 * 1.0932+0.115 * 0.938
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.933+4.679 * 0.056323-0.327 * 0.9723
=-1.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Kč11,305 Mil.
Revenue was 65566.61 + 57961.723 + 45922.032 + 47573.347 = Kč217,024 Mil.
Gross Profit was 24885.71 + 9377.704 + 7792.662 + 8411.215 = Kč50,467 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Kč92,557 Mil.
Total Assets was Kč350,449 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Kč176,680 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Kč13,233 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Kč12,741 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Kč72,879 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Kč26,741 Mil.
Net Income was 19489.94 + 14773.474 + 2391.37 + 1375.176 = Kč38,030 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Kč0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3755.5 + 7472.34 + 4771.694 + 2291.959 = Kč18,291 Mil.
Total Receivables was Kč5,816 Mil.
Revenue was 49384.824 + 50704.771 + 47821.873 + 50616.407 = Kč198,528 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8880.653 + 7897.595 + 8024.62 + 11487.411 = Kč36,290 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Kč66,428 Mil.
Total Assets was Kč298,993 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Kč166,479 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Kč11,642 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Kč12,493 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Kč60,005 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Kč27,410 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(11305.159 / 217023.712) / (5815.502 / 198527.875)
=0.052092 / 0.029293
=1.7783

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(36290.279 / 198527.875) / (50467.291 / 217023.712)
=0.182797 / 0.232543
=0.7861

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (92556.504 + 176679.702) / 350448.891) / (1 - (66428.166 + 166479.101) / 298993.02)
=0.231739 / 0.221028
=1.0485

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=217023.712 / 198527.875
=1.0932

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(11642.05 / (11642.05 + 166479.101)) / (13232.613 / (13232.613 + 176679.702))
=0.06536 / 0.069677
=0.938

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(12741.086 / 217023.712) / (12492.559 / 198527.875)
=0.058708 / 0.062926
=0.933

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((26741.368 + 72878.789) / 350448.891) / ((27409.626 + 60005.156) / 298993.02)
=0.284264 / 0.292364
=0.9723

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(38029.96 - 0 - 18291.493) / 350448.891
=0.056323

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

KGHM Polska Miedz has a M-score of -1.50 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.50 mean?
KGHM Polska Miedz (XPRA:KGH) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.50 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on KGHM Polska Miedz and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, KGHM Polska Miedz ranks #524 out of 683 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 76.7%.
Is KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score too high?
KGHM Polska Miedz's current Beneish M-Score is -1.50. Based on the distribution chart, KGHM Polska Miedz ranks #524 out of 683 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, KGHM Polska Miedz has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score compare to SCCO and FCX?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, KGHM Polska Miedz ranks #524 out of 683 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places KGHM Polska Miedz in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on KGHM Polska Miedz and its competitors. KGHM Polska Miedz's current Beneish M-Score is -1.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is KGHM Polska Miedz stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, KGHM Polska Miedz (XPRA:KGH) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Kč900.85, compared to a current price of Kč1,861.00 — trading 106.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.50. KGHM Polska Miedz's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For KGHM Polska Miedz (XPRA:KGH), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.50 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is KGHM Polska Miedz (XPRA:KGH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, KGHM Polska Miedz stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of Kč1,861.00 is trading 106.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of Kč900.85. GuruFocus considers KGHM Polska Miedz to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XPRA:KGH:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.50
  • GF Value™: Kč900.85 vs. price of Kč1,861.00 (106.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XPRA:KGH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


KGHM Polska Miedz Business Description

Address 48 M.Sklodowskiej-Curie Street, Lubin, POL, 59-301
KGHM Polska Miedz SA engages in copper ore mining and copper production predominantly in South-Western Poland. The company also produces precious metals such as silver, which is typically used for coins, jewelry, photography products, and industrial purposes. The bulk of group revenue is generated through copper sales, and the remainder is through sales of silver, while a minor portion is generated through the production of gold, salt, and casting of light metals. The materials are sold domestically, and exported to Germany, China, the U.S., the United Kingdom, and the Czech Republic, among many other European nations.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XPRA:KGH

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Kč1,861.00
Price
Kč900.85
GF Value