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KGHM Polska Miedz SA XPRA:KGH
KGHM Polska Miedz XPRA:KGH 87 Beneish M-Score is -1.50 as of Aug. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates XPRA:KGH with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of Kč931.71 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 678 Metals & Mining companies, KGHM Polska Miedz ranks worse than 74.93% on this metric.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Warning Sign:
Beneish M-Score -1.5 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.
The historical rank and industry rank for KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of KGHM Polska Miedz was 1.91. The lowest was -4.30. And the median was -2.73.
The historical data trend for KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| KGHM Polska Miedz Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Trend | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | Dec24 | Dec25 | |||||||||||
| Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-1.80 | -2.09 | 1.71 | -2.70 | -2.30 | |||||||||||||
| KGHM Polska Miedz Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | Sep24 | Dec24 | Mar25 | Jun25 | Sep25 | Dec25 | Mar26 | |
| Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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-3.48 | -2.99 | -2.90 | -2.30 | -1.50 | ||
For the Copper subindustry, KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where KGHM Polska Miedz's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of KGHM Polska Miedz for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.7783 | + | 0.528 * 0.7861 | + | 0.404 * 1.0485 | + | 0.892 * 1.0932 | + | 0.115 * 0.938 | |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
| - | 0.172 * 0.933 | + | 4.679 * 0.056323 | - | 0.327 * 0.9723 | |||||||
| = | -1.50 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Mar26) TTM: | Last Year (Mar25) TTM: |
| Total Receivables was Kč11,558 Mil. Revenue was 67034.099 + 59259.002 + 46949.843 + 48638.117 = Kč221,881 Mil. Gross Profit was 25442.693 + 9587.593 + 7967.075 + 8599.472 = Kč51,597 Mil. Total Current Assets was Kč94,628 Mil. Total Assets was Kč358,293 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Kč180,634 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Kč13,529 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Kč13,026 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was Kč74,510 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Kč27,340 Mil. Net Income was 19926.157 + 15104.129 + 2444.893 + 1405.954 = Kč38,881 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Kč0 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 3839.554 + 7639.584 + 4878.492 + 2343.257 = Kč18,701 Mil. |
Total Receivables was Kč5,946 Mil. Revenue was 50490.138 + 51839.628 + 48892.206 + 51749.286 = Kč202,971 Mil. Gross Profit was 9079.416 + 8074.357 + 8204.224 + 11744.519 = Kč37,103 Mil. Total Current Assets was Kč67,915 Mil. Total Assets was Kč305,685 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Kč170,205 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Kč11,903 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Kč12,772 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was Kč61,348 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Kč28,023 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (11558.187 / 221881.061) | / | (5945.663 / 202971.258) | |
| = | 0.052092 | / | 0.029293 | |
| = | 1.7783 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
| = | (37102.516 / 202971.258) | / | (51596.833 / 221881.061) | |
| = | 0.182797 | / | 0.232543 | |
| = | 0.7861 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (94628.072 + 180634.086) / 358292.517) | / | (1 - (67914.938 + 170205.179) / 305684.978) | |
| = | 0.231739 | / | 0.221028 | |
| = | 1.0485 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
| = | 221881.061 | / | 202971.258 | |
| = | 1.0932 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (11902.618 / (11902.618 + 170205.179)) | / | (13528.782 / (13528.782 + 180634.086)) | |
| = | 0.06536 | / | 0.069677 | |
| = | 0.938 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (13026.253 / 221881.061) | / | (12772.165 / 202971.258) | |
| = | 0.058708 | / | 0.062926 | |
| = | 0.933 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((27339.884 + 74509.937) / 358292.517) | / | ((28023.099 + 61348.171) / 305684.978) | |
| = | 0.284264 | / | 0.292364 | |
| = | 0.9723 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
| = | (38881.133 - 0 | - | 18700.887) | / | 358292.517 | |
| = | 0.056323 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
KGHM Polska Miedz has a M-score of -1.50 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, KGHM Polska Miedz stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of Kč2,050.00 is trading 120% above its estimated GF Value™ of Kč931.71. GuruFocus considers KGHM Polska Miedz to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XPRA:KGH:
No single metric tells the full story. See the XPRA:KGH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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