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Howmet Aerospace (XSGO:HWMCL) Beneish M-Score : -2.42 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.42 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSGO:HWMCL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.27   Max: -0.35
Current: -2.42

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Howmet Aerospace was -0.35. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.27.


Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score Chart

Howmet Aerospace Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -3.03 -2.24 -2.31 -2.30

Howmet Aerospace Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 -2.29 -2.34 -2.30 -2.42

Competitive Comparison of Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Howmet Aerospace for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1702+0.528 * 0.9554+0.404 * 0.9733+0.892 * 1.131+0.115 * 1.0977
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1251+4.679 * -0.014834-0.327 * 0.9262
=-2.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was CLP700,979 Mil.
Revenue was 1592260.775 + 1511076.426 + 1503540.666 + 1322816.62 = CLP5,929,694 Mil.
Gross Profit was 466155.293 + 437347.943 + 430748.985 + 362811.355 = CLP1,697,064 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CLP2,915,653 Mil.
Total Assets was CLP9,087,409 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CLP2,002,547 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CLP233,293 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CLP322,712 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CLP1,482,269 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CLP3,043,104 Mil.
Net Income was 212126.847 + 206016.197 + 170485.914 + 154917.238 = CLP743,546 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -19204.9 + -14840.15 + -11788.92 + 12842.88 = CLP-32,991 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 154512.148 + 399811.094 + 173206.434 + 183813.717 = CLP911,343 Mil.
Total Receivables was CLP529,634 Mil.
Revenue was 1265279.952 + 1311786.169 + 1384277.983 + 1281518.171 = CLP5,242,862 Mil.
Gross Profit was 346511.478 + 349405.04 + 364181.996 + 373507.809 = CLP1,433,606 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CLP2,412,951 Mil.
Total Assets was CLP8,030,542 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CLP1,832,012 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CLP236,981 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CLP253,607 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CLP1,107,416 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CLP3,210,164 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(700978.839 / 5929694.487) / (529633.717 / 5242862.275)
=0.118215 / 0.10102
=1.1702

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1433606.323 / 5242862.275) / (1697063.576 / 5929694.487)
=0.27344 / 0.286197
=0.9554

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2915652.953 + 2002547.268) / 9087409.355) / (1 - (2412951.226 + 1832011.709) / 8030541.632)
=0.45879 / 0.471398
=0.9733

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5929694.487 / 5242862.275
=1.131

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(236980.739 / (236980.739 + 1832011.709)) / (233292.925 / (233292.925 + 2002547.268))
=0.114539 / 0.104342
=1.0977

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(322712.224 / 5929694.487) / (253606.768 / 5242862.275)
=0.054423 / 0.048372
=1.1251

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3043103.651 + 1482269.076) / 9087409.355) / ((3210164.421 + 1107415.953) / 8030541.632)
=0.497983 / 0.537645
=0.9262

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(743546.196 - -32991.09 - 911343.393) / 9087409.355
=-0.014834

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Howmet Aerospace has a M-score of -2.30 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Howmet Aerospace (XSGO:HWMCL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
201 Isabella Street, Suite 200, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5872
Howmet Aerospace Inc produces products that are majorly used in aerospace, commercial transportation, and industrial and other markets. The company seeks to provide its customers with innovative solutions through offering differentiated products such as airfoils with advanced cooling and coatings for extreme temperature applications, specially designed fasteners for lightweight composite airframe construction, reduced assembly costs, and lightning strike protection and lightweight aluminum commercial wheels. It has four reportable segments namely, Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures and Forged Wheels.

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