ConocoPhillips (XSWX:COP) Beneish M-Score: -2.69 (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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XSWX:COP ConocoPhillips XSWX:COP
69 GF Score
Price CHF90.04
GF Value CHF89.02
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score?

ConocoPhillips XSWX:COP +2.36% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:COP with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF89.02. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 823 Oil & Gas companies, ConocoPhillips ranks better than 51.76% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.69 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:COP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.29   Med: -3.06   Max: -0.22
Current: -2.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of ConocoPhillips was -0.22. The lowest was -5.29. And the median was -3.06.


ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score Chart

ConocoPhillips Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.83 -3.14 -2.85 -2.97

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.94 -2.99 -2.91 -2.97 -2.69

XSWX:COP vs EOG, FANG, OXY: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ConocoPhillips's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XSWX:COP
69GF Score
ConocoPhillips XSWX:COP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

ConocoPhillips Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of ConocoPhillips for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0676+0.528 * 1.2437+0.404 * 1.0376+0.892 * 0.9193+0.115 * 0.8481
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.752+4.679 * -0.104141-0.327 * 0.9665
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was CHF5,550 Mil.
Revenue was 12408.635 + 10672.085 + 11966.179 + 11388.053 = CHF46,435 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3382.241 + 2053.611 + 2885.862 + 2853.519 = CHF11,175 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF12,777 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF96,621 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF73,330 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF9,454 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF715 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF9,909 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF17,527 Mil.
Net Income was 1718.676 + 1149.13 + 1374.069 + 1602.817 = CHF5,845 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 213.358 + 369.762 + 387.701 + 600.142 = CHF1,571 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3381.454 + 3441.014 + 4679.476 + 2834.002 = CHF14,336 Mil.
Total Receivables was CHF5,655 Mil.
Revenue was 14594.421 + 12692.818 + 11048.335 + 12173.556 = CHF50,509 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4486.037 + 3734.021 + 3086.35 + 3811.163 = CHF15,118 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF14,938 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF109,791 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF83,338 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF8,937 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF1,035 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF11,778 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF20,478 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(5550.465 / 46434.952) / (5655.04 / 50509.13)
=0.119532 / 0.111961
=1.0676

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(15117.571 / 50509.13) / (11175.233 / 46434.952)
=0.299304 / 0.240664
=1.2437

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12777.092 + 73329.909) / 96621.393) / (1 - (14938.142 + 83337.618) / 109790.834)
=0.108821 / 0.104882
=1.0376

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=46434.952 / 50509.13
=0.9193

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(8936.84 / (8936.84 + 83337.618)) / (9453.536 / (9453.536 + 73329.909))
=0.096851 / 0.114196
=0.8481

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(715.231 / 46434.952) / (1034.638 / 50509.13)
=0.015403 / 0.020484
=0.752

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17526.873 + 9908.958) / 96621.393) / ((20478.314 + 11777.504) / 109790.834)
=0.283952 / 0.293793
=0.9665

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5844.692 - 1570.963 - 14335.946) / 96621.393
=-0.104141

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

ConocoPhillips has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 mean?
ConocoPhillips (XSWX:COP) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.69 as of Jul. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ConocoPhillips and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, ConocoPhillips ranks #397 out of 823 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 48.2%.
Is ConocoPhillips' Beneish M-Score too high?
ConocoPhillips' current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. Based on the distribution chart, ConocoPhillips ranks #397 out of 823 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, ConocoPhillips has a GF Score™ of 69/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does ConocoPhillips' Beneish M-Score compare to EOG and FANG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, ConocoPhillips ranks #397 out of 823 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts ConocoPhillips in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on ConocoPhillips and its competitors. ConocoPhillips's current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is ConocoPhillips stock overvalued right now?
ConocoPhillips (XSWX:COP) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.69. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF89.02, compared to a current price of CHF90.04 — trading 1.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.69. ConocoPhillips' overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For ConocoPhillips (XSWX:COP), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.69 as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is ConocoPhillips (XSWX:COP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, ConocoPhillips stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF90.04 is trading 1.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF89.02.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:COP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.69
  • GF Value™: CHF89.02 vs. price of CHF90.04 (1.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:COP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


ConocoPhillips Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 925 North Eldridge Parkway, Houston, TX, USA, 77079
ConocoPhillips is a US-based independent exploration and production firm. Its operations are primarily in Alaska and the Lower 48, with footprints in Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It also has substantial integrated LNG production and marketing activities across geographies.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:COP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF90.04
Price
CHF89.02
GF Value