eBay (XSWX:EBAY) Beneish M-Score: -2.38 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


XSWX:EBAY eBay Inc XSWX:EBAY
82 GF Score
Price CHF88.20
GF Value CHF65.94
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is eBay Beneish M-Score?

eBay XSWX:EBAY 82 Beneish M-Score is -2.38 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:EBAY with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF65.94. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,087 Retail - Cyclical companies, eBay ranks worse than 64.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.38 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for eBay's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:EBAY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.55   Med: -2.35   Max: 0.33
Current: -2.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of eBay was 0.33. The lowest was -3.55. And the median was -2.35.


eBay Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for eBay's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

eBay Beneish M-Score Chart

eBay Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.33 -2.46 -2.62 -2.49 -2.10

eBay Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.21 -2.25 -2.10 -2.38

XSWX:EBAY vs SE, JD, CPNG: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, eBay's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


eBay Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, eBay's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where eBay's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XSWX:EBAY
82GF Score
eBay Inc XSWX:EBAY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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eBay Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of eBay for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.06+0.528 * 1.0014+0.404 * 1.0205+0.892 * 1.0215+0.115 * 0.6836
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0597+4.679 * -0.007511-0.327 * 1.0173
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was CHF1,445 Mil.
Revenue was 2431.97 + 2362.809 + 2245.002 + 2220.036 = CHF9,260 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1800.555 + 1686.24 + 1591.404 + 1588.993 = CHF6,667 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF4,928 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF14,087 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF1,294 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF358 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF3,095 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF4,042 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF4,980 Mil.
Net Income was 403.098 + 420.763 + 503.135 + 299.258 = CHF1,626 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 7.873 + 19.126 + -4.777 + -7.319 = CHF15 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 762.894 + 464.593 + 713.306 + -223.63 = CHF1,717 Mil.
Total Receivables was CHF1,334 Mil.
Revenue was 2284.106 + 2299.436 + 2182.387 + 2298.854 = CHF9,065 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1668.237 + 1659.268 + 1566.473 + 1641.911 = CHF6,536 Mil.
Total Current Assets was CHF6,072 Mil.
Total Assets was CHF16,748 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was CHF1,513 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was CHF263 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was CHF2,859 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was CHF5,196 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was CHF5,348 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1444.696 / 9259.817) / (1334.236 / 9064.783)
=0.156018 / 0.147189
=1.06

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(6535.889 / 9064.783) / (6667.192 / 9259.817)
=0.72102 / 0.720013
=1.0014

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (4927.711 + 1294.321) / 14087.159) / (1 - (6072.099 + 1512.723) / 16747.754)
=0.558319 / 0.547114
=1.0205

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9259.817 / 9064.783
=1.0215

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(263.148 / (263.148 + 1512.723)) / (358.219 / (358.219 + 1294.321))
=0.14818 / 0.216769
=0.6836

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(3094.87 / 9259.817) / (2859.116 / 9064.783)
=0.334226 / 0.315409
=1.0597

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4980.46 + 4041.998) / 14087.159) / ((5348.431 + 5195.568) / 16747.754)
=0.640474 / 0.629577
=1.0173

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1626.254 - 14.903 - 1717.163) / 14087.159
=-0.007511

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

eBay has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.38 mean?
eBay (XSWX:EBAY) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.38 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on eBay and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, eBay ranks #702 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 64.6%.
Is eBay's Beneish M-Score too high?
eBay's current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. Based on the distribution chart, eBay ranks #702 out of 1087 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, eBay has a GF Score™ of 82/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does eBay's Beneish M-Score compare to SE and JD?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, eBay ranks #702 out of 1087 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places eBay in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on eBay and its competitors. eBay's current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is eBay stock overvalued right now?
eBay (XSWX:EBAY) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.38. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF65.94, compared to a current price of CHF88.20 — trading 33.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.38. eBay's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For eBay (XSWX:EBAY), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.38 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is eBay (XSWX:EBAY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, eBay stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF88.20 is trading 33.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF65.94.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:EBAY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.38
  • GF Value™: CHF65.94 vs. price of CHF88.20 (33.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:EBAY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


eBay Business Description

Address 2025 Hamilton Avenue, San Jose, CA, USA, 95125
Founded in 1995, eBay operates one of the world's largest online marketplaces, connecting buyers and sellers across more than 190 markets. In 2025, the firm generated $11.1 billion in revenue on nearly $80 billion of gross merchandise volume, serving 135 million active buyers and 18 million active sellers (users who closed at least one transaction in the past year). The firm monetizes its marketplace primarily through transaction fees and advertising, with 52% of revenue derived from the US and the remainder from international markets. In a bid to expand its reach among Generation Z and in the recommerce sector, eBay announced the $1.2 billion acquisition of fashion resale app Depop from Etsy in early 2026.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:EBAY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF88.20
Price
CHF65.94
GF Value