Vale (XTER:CVLC) Beneish M-Score: -2.61 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


XTER:CVLC Vale SA XTER:CVLC
71 GF Score
Price €4.36
GF Value €3.61
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Vale Beneish M-Score?

Vale XTER:CVLC 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates XTER:CVLC with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of €3.61. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 685 Metals & Mining companies, Vale ranks better than 66.42% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vale's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:CVLC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -2.55   Max: -1.01
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Vale was -1.01. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.55.


Vale Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vale's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vale Beneish M-Score Chart

Vale Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -1.86 -2.72 -2.54 -2.69

Vale Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 -2.17 -2.48 -2.69 -2.61

Vale Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Vale's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vale Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Vale's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vale's Beneish M-Score falls into.


XTER:CVLC
71GF Score
Vale SA XTER:CVLC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Vale Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Vale for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1178+0.528 * 1.0117+0.404 * 0.8944+0.892 * 0.9704+0.115 * 1.03
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0077+4.679 * -0.023793-0.327 * 1.0738
=-2.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,251 Mil.
Revenue was 8008.17 + 9445.24 + 8877.84 + 7633.068 = €33,964 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2668.525 + 3655.974 + 3227.376 + 2357.373 = €11,909 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €14,490 Mil.
Total Assets was €75,766 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €39,501 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,790 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €507 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €11,686 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €18,540 Mil.
Net Income was 1637.445 + -3282.776 + 2287.62 + 1835.439 = €2,478 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 410.875 + -3955.728 + -202.776 + 293.046 = €-3,455 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1625.335 + 2304.946 + 2195.604 + 1609.152 = €7,735 Mil.
Total Receivables was €2,997 Mil.
Revenue was 7510.075 + 9668.42 + 8607.253 + 9215.68 = €35,001 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2467.9 + 3682.48 + 2948.072 + 3317.459 = €12,416 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €13,585 Mil.
Total Assets was €77,173 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €38,788 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,828 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €518 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €12,241 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €16,430 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3250.67 / 33964.318) / (2997 / 35001.428)
=0.095708 / 0.085625
=1.1178

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(12415.911 / 35001.428) / (11909.248 / 33964.318)
=0.354726 / 0.35064
=1.0117

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (14489.615 + 39501.09) / 75766.215) / (1 - (13585.475 + 38788.025) / 77172.75)
=0.287404 / 0.321347
=0.8944

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=33964.318 / 35001.428
=0.9704

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2827.755 / (2827.755 + 38788.025)) / (2789.997 / (2789.997 + 39501.09))
=0.067949 / 0.065971
=1.03

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(506.75 / 33964.318) / (518.227 / 35001.428)
=0.01492 / 0.014806
=1.0077

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18539.545 + 11686.15) / 75766.215) / ((16429.85 + 12241.45) / 77172.75)
=0.398934 / 0.371521
=1.0738

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2477.728 - -3454.583 - 7735.037) / 75766.215
=-0.023793

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Vale has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 mean?
Vale (XTER:CVLC) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vale and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Vale ranks #230 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 33.6%.
Is Vale's Beneish M-Score too high?
Vale's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Based on the distribution chart, Vale ranks #230 out of 685 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Vale has a GF Score™ of 71/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vale's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Vale ranks #230 out of 685 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Vale in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Vale and its competitors. Vale's current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vale stock overvalued right now?
Vale (XTER:CVLC) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.61. The stock's GF Value™ is €3.61, compared to a current price of €4.36 — trading 20.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.61. Vale's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vale (XTER:CVLC), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.61 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vale (XTER:CVLC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vale stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €4.36 is trading 20.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €3.61.

Key valuation signals for XTER:CVLC:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.61
  • GF Value™: €3.61 vs. price of €4.36 (20.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XTER:CVLC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vale Business Description

Address Praia de Botafogo, 186, Rooms 1801 to 2001, Botafogo, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 22250-145
Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by its iron ore business. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XTER:CVLC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€4.36
Price
€3.61
GF Value