Heineken Holding NV (CHIX:HEIOA) Peter Lynch Fair Value: €31.50 (As of Aug. 05, 2026) — 846% Above Median

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CHIX:HEIOA Heineken Holding NV CHIX:HEIOA
79 GF Score
Price €69.28
GF Value €72.28
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Heineken Holding NV Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Heineken Holding NV CHIX:HEIOA 79 Peter Lynch Fair Value is €31.50 as of Aug. 05, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 3.33. GuruFocus rates CHIX:HEIOA with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €72.28 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 67 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Heineken Holding NV ranks worse than 65.67% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Heineken Holding NV's PEG is 1. Heineken Holding NV's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 6.59. Heineken Holding NV's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was €4.78. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is €31.50.

As of today (2026-08-05), Heineken Holding NV's share price is €69.275. Heineken Holding NV's Peter Lynch fair value is €31.50. Therefore, Heineken Holding NV's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 2.20.


The historical rank and industry rank for Heineken Holding NV's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:HEIOa' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.98   Med: 3.33   Max: 3.68
Current: 2.32


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Heineken Holding NV was 3.68. The lowest was 1.98. And the median was 3.33.


CHIX:HEIOa's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
65.67% of 67 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.6 vs CHIX:HEIOa: 2.32

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Heineken Holding NV  (CHIX:HEIOa) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 6.59 instead of 15 in this case.

Heineken Holding NV's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=69.275/31.50
=2.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heineken Holding NV Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Heineken Holding NV Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Heineken Holding NV's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Heineken Holding NV Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Heineken Holding NV Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 21.69 20.83 0.00 31.61

Heineken Holding NV Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.61

CHIX:HEIOA vs STZ, TAP: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Heineken Holding NV's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heineken Holding NV Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Heineken Holding NV's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heineken Holding NV's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


CHIX:HEIOA
79GF Score
Heineken Holding NV CHIX:HEIOA
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Heineken Holding NV Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Heineken Holding NV's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 6.59 *4.78
=31.50

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Heineken Holding NV's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was €4.78.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of €31.50 mean?
Heineken Holding NV (CHIX:HEIOA) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of €31.50 as of Aug. 05, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Heineken Holding NV and its competitors. This is 846% above median its historical median of 3.33. Over the past decade, Heineken Holding NV's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.98 to 3.68. According to the industry distribution chart, Heineken Holding NV ranks #44 out of 67 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 65.7%.
Is Heineken Holding NV's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Heineken Holding NV's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of €31.50 is 846% above median its 10-year median of 3.33. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.98 to a high of 3.68. Based on the distribution chart, Heineken Holding NV ranks #44 out of 67 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Heineken Holding NV has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Heineken Holding NV's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Heineken Holding NV ranks #44 out of 67 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Heineken Holding NV in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.60. Historically, Heineken Holding NV's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.98 to 3.68 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 1.60, based on 67 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Heineken Holding NV and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.60 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Heineken Holding NV's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is €31.50, which is 846% above median its own 10-year median of 3.33. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Heineken Holding NV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heineken Holding NV (CHIX:HEIOA) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €72.28, compared to a current price of €69.28 — trading 4.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is €31.50, which is 846% above median its 10-year median of 3.33. Heineken Holding NV's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Heineken Holding NV (CHIX:HEIOA), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is €31.50 as of Aug. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Heineken Holding NV (CHIX:HEIOA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heineken Holding NV stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €69.28 is trading 4.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €72.28. GuruFocus considers Heineken Holding NV to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:HEIOA:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: €31.50 (846% above median its 10-year median of 3.33)
  • GF Value™: €72.28 vs. price of €69.28 (4.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:HEIOA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Heineken Holding NV Business Description

Address Tweede Weteringplantsoen 5, PO Box 28, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1017 ZD
Heineken Holding NV, through its subsidiary, is involved in the brewing and selling of beer and cider. It does not engage in operational activities and generates income almost exclusively by receiving Heineken dividends. The company has five reportable segments: Europe, Americas, Africa & Middle East, Asia Pacific and Heineken N.V. Head Office & Other/Eliminations. The majority of the revenue is generated from the Europe segment.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:HEIOA

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€69.28
Price
€72.28
GF Value