HPK (HighPeak Energy) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $-6.60 (As of Jul. 18, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HPK HighPeak Energy Inc HPK
55 GF Score
Price $7.37
GF Value $10.12
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is HighPeak Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value?

HighPeak Energy HPK +1.45% 55 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-6.60 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates HPK with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $10.12 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 264 Oil & Gas companies, HighPeak Energy ranks worse than 378787.5% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, HighPeak Energy's PEG is 1. HighPeak Energy's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. HighPeak Energy's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $-0.26. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $-6.60.

As of today (2026-07-18), HighPeak Energy's share price is $7.37. HighPeak Energy's Peter Lynch fair value is $-6.60. Therefore, HighPeak Energy's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is N/A.


The historical rank and industry rank for HighPeak Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:



HPK's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 1.035
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


HighPeak Energy  (NAS:HPK) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

HighPeak Energy's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=7.37/-6.60
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


HighPeak Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


HighPeak Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for HighPeak Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

HighPeak Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

HighPeak Energy Annual Data
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HighPeak Energy Quarterly Data
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HPK vs REPX, GFR, TXO: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, HighPeak Energy's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HighPeak Energy Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, HighPeak Energy's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HighPeak Energy's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


HPK
55GF Score
HighPeak Energy Inc HPK
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

HighPeak Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

HighPeak Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *-0.264
=-6.60

HighPeak Energy's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $-0.26.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $-6.60 mean?
HighPeak Energy (HPK) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $-6.60 as of Jul. 18, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on HighPeak Energy and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, HighPeak Energy ranks #999999 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry.
Is HighPeak Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
HighPeak Energy's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-6.60. Based on the distribution chart, HighPeak Energy ranks #999999 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, HighPeak Energy has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does HighPeak Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to REPX and GFR?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, HighPeak Energy ranks #999999 out of 264 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places HighPeak Energy in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.04. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Oil & Gas companies is 1.04, based on 264 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on HighPeak Energy and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.04 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. HighPeak Energy's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-6.60. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is HighPeak Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HighPeak Energy (HPK) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $10.12, compared to a current price of $7.37 — trading 27.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-6.60. HighPeak Energy's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For HighPeak Energy (HPK), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-6.60 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is HighPeak Energy (HPK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HighPeak Energy stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $7.37 is trading 27.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $10.12. GuruFocus considers HighPeak Energy to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HPK:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $-6.60
  • GF Value™: $10.12 vs. price of $7.37 (27.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HPK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


HighPeak Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges 58R:Germany
Address 421 West 3rd Street, Suite 1000, Fort Worth, TX, USA, 76102
HighPeak Energy Inc is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company that explores for, develops and produces crude oil, NGL, and natural gas prominently in Howard County of the Midland Basin. The company operates in a single segment, which is crude oil and natural gas development, exploration, and production in the U.S. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Crude oil sales.
55GF Score

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Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$7.37
Price
$10.12
GF Value