Valero Energy (MEX:VLO) Peter Lynch Fair Value: MXN4,374.96 (As of Jul. 13, 2026) — 717107% Above Median


MEX:VLO Valero Energy Corp MEX:VLO
59 GF Score
Price MXN4,676.85
GF Value MXN2,650.09
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Valero Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Valero Energy MEX:VLO 59 Peter Lynch Fair Value is MXN4,374.96 as of Jul. 13, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.61. GuruFocus rates MEX:VLO with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,650.09 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 264 Oil & Gas companies, Valero Energy ranks better than 51.14% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Valero Energy's PEG is 1. Valero Energy's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 17.16. Valero Energy's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN254.95. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is MXN4,374.96.

As of today (2026-07-13), Valero Energy's share price is MXN4676.85. Valero Energy's Peter Lynch fair value is MXN4,374.96. Therefore, Valero Energy's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.07.


The historical rank and industry rank for Valero Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:VLO' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Med: 0.61   Max: 3.25
Current: 0.97


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Valero Energy was 3.25. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 0.61.


MEX:VLO's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
51.14% of 264 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 1.025 vs MEX:VLO: 0.97

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Valero Energy  (MEX:VLO) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 17.16 instead of 15 in this case.

Valero Energy's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=4676.85/4,374.96
=1.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Valero Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Valero Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Valero Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Valero Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Valero Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 3,167.14 10,578.97 4,040.10 4,760.43

Valero Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,675.34 2,333.14 3,389.27 4,760.43 5,379.66

MEX:VLO vs MPC, PSX, SUN: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Valero Energy's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Valero Energy Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Valero Energy's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Valero Energy's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


MEX:VLO
59GF Score
Valero Energy Corp MEX:VLO
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Valero Energy Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Valero Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 17.16 *254.951
=4,374.96

Valero Energy's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was MXN254.95.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of MXN4,374.96 mean?
Valero Energy (MEX:VLO) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of MXN4,374.96 as of Jul. 13, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Valero Energy and its competitors. This is 717107% above median its historical median of 0.61. Over the past decade, Valero Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.18 to 3.25. According to the industry distribution chart, Valero Energy ranks #129 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 48.9%.
Is Valero Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Valero Energy's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of MXN4,374.96 is 717107% above median its 10-year median of 0.61. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.18 to a high of 3.25. Based on the distribution chart, Valero Energy ranks #129 out of 264 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Valero Energy has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Valero Energy's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to MPC and PSX?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Valero Energy ranks #129 out of 264 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This puts Valero Energy in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.03. Historically, Valero Energy's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.18 to 3.25 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Oil & Gas companies is 1.03, based on 264 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Valero Energy and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.03 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Valero Energy's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is MXN4,374.96, which is 717107% above median its own 10-year median of 0.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Valero Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valero Energy (MEX:VLO) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,650.09, compared to a current price of MXN4,676.85 — trading 76.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is MXN4,374.96, which is 717107% above median its 10-year median of 0.61. Valero Energy's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Valero Energy (MEX:VLO), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is MXN4,374.96 as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Valero Energy (MEX:VLO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valero Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN4,676.85 is trading 76.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,650.09. GuruFocus considers Valero Energy to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:VLO:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: MXN4,374.96 (717107% above median its 10-year median of 0.61)
  • GF Value™: MXN2,650.09 vs. price of MXN4,676.85 (76.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:VLO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Valero Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address One Valero Way, San Antonio, TX, USA, 78249
Valero Energy is one of the largest independent refiners in the United States. It operates 15 refineries, with a total throughput capacity of 3.2 million barrels a day in the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Valero also owns 12 ethanol plants with capacity of 1.6 billion gallons a year and holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which can produce 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:VLO

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN4,676.85
Price
MXN2,650.09
GF Value