Niigata Kotsu Co (TSE:9017) Peter Lynch Fair Value: 円7,867.70 (As of Aug. 14, 2026) — 1191976% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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TSE:9017 Niigata Kotsu Co Ltd TSE:9017
66 GF Score
Price 円1,996.00
GF Value 円2,229.61
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Niigata Kotsu Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Niigata Kotsu Co TSE:9017 -1.19% 66 Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円7,867.70 as of Aug. 14, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.66. GuruFocus rates TSE:9017 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,229.61 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 313 Transportation companies, Niigata Kotsu Co ranks better than 93.93% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Niigata Kotsu Co's PEG is 1. Niigata Kotsu Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Niigata Kotsu Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was 円314.71. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is 円7,867.70.

As of today (2026-08-14), Niigata Kotsu Co's share price is 円1996.00. Niigata Kotsu Co's Peter Lynch fair value is 円7,867.70. Therefore, Niigata Kotsu Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.25.


The historical rank and industry rank for Niigata Kotsu Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:9017' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25   Med: 0.66   Max: 1
Current: 0.25


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Niigata Kotsu Co was 1.00. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.66.


TSE:9017's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
93.93% of 313 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs TSE:9017: 0.25

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Niigata Kotsu Co  (TSE:9017) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Niigata Kotsu Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=1996.00/7,867.70
=0.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Niigata Kotsu Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Niigata Kotsu Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Niigata Kotsu Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Niigata Kotsu Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Niigata Kotsu Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,082.21 7,867.70

Niigata Kotsu Co Quarterly Data
Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4,082.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 7,867.70

TSE:9017 vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Niigata Kotsu Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Niigata Kotsu Co Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Niigata Kotsu Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Niigata Kotsu Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


TSE:9017
66GF Score
Niigata Kotsu Co Ltd TSE:9017
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Niigata Kotsu Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Niigata Kotsu Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *314.708
=7,867.70

Niigata Kotsu Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) uses the latest annual data, which was 円314.71.

* Note that for companies that do not have enough quarterly data to calculate the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate, we use the annual data for the calculation.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of 円7,867.70 mean?
Niigata Kotsu Co (TSE:9017) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of 円7,867.70 as of Aug. 14, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Niigata Kotsu Co and its competitors. This is 1191976% above median its historical median of 0.66. Over the past decade, Niigata Kotsu Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.25 to 1.00. According to the industry distribution chart, Niigata Kotsu Co ranks #19 out of 313 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 6.1%.
Is Niigata Kotsu Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Niigata Kotsu Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of 円7,867.70 is 1191976% above median its 10-year median of 0.66. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.25 to a high of 1.00. Based on the distribution chart, Niigata Kotsu Co ranks #19 out of 313 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Niigata Kotsu Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Niigata Kotsu Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Niigata Kotsu Co ranks #19 out of 313 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Niigata Kotsu Co in the top 6% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.87. Historically, Niigata Kotsu Co's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.25 to 1.00 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Transportation company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Transportation companies is 0.87, based on 313 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Niigata Kotsu Co and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Niigata Kotsu Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円7,867.70, which is 1191976% above median its own 10-year median of 0.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Niigata Kotsu Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Niigata Kotsu Co (TSE:9017) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,229.61, compared to a current price of 円1,996.00 — trading 10.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円7,867.70, which is 1191976% above median its 10-year median of 0.66. Niigata Kotsu Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Niigata Kotsu Co (TSE:9017), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is 円7,867.70 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Niigata Kotsu Co (TSE:9017) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Niigata Kotsu Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円1,996.00 is trading 10.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,229.61. GuruFocus considers Niigata Kotsu Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9017:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: 円7,867.70 (1191976% above median its 10-year median of 0.66)
  • GF Value™: 円2,229.61 vs. price of 円1,996.00 (10.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9017 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Niigata Kotsu Co Business Description

Address 1-6-1 Bandai Chuo-ku, Niigata, JPN, 950-8544
Niigata Kotsu Co Ltd provides passenger transport services in Japan. The company's core business activities are categorised into four key segments - Transport, Real Estate, Products Sales, and Ryokan Business. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Transport business segment. It offers stagecoach bus and coach services; hotel and restaurant services; advertising agency services; air transport agency services. In addition, the company is involved in the parking lot management.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9017

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,996.00
Price
円2,229.61
GF Value