ANEB (Anebulo Pharmaceuticals) Predictability Rank

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What is Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:ANEB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

214:Germany

Address

1017 Ranch Road 620 South, Suite 107, Lakeway, TX, USA, 78734

Website

https://www.anebulo.com

Anebulo Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company, developing novel solutions for people suffering from cannabinoid overdose and substance addiction. The product candidate, ANEB-001, is intended to reverse the negative effects of cannabinoid overdose within 1 hour of administration. The signs and symptoms of cannabinoid overdose range from profound sedation to anxiety and panic to psychosis with hallucinations.

Executives

22nw Fund, Lp	10 percent owner	1455 NW LEARY WAY, SUITE 400, SEATTLE WA 98107
Bimal R. Shah	director	C/O SPECTRUM PHARMACEUTICALS, 11500 SOUTH EASTER AVENUE, SUITE 240, HENDERSON NV 89052
Richard Anthony Cunningham,	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	ONE KENDALL SQUARE, BUILDING 200 SUITE 2, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Dan George	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1412 62ND STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Sandra A. Gardiner	officer: Acting Chief Financial Officer	CUTERA, INC., 3240 BAYSHORE BOULEVARD, BRISBANE CA 94005
Kenneth C Cundy	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	1455 ADAMS DRIVE, SUITE 2050, MENLO BUSINESS PARK, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Nathaniel Calloway	director	C/O ANEBULO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1415 RANCH ROAD 620 SOUTH, SUITE 201, LAKEWAY TX 78734
Simon Allen	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O AMBRX, INC., 10975 N. TORREY PINES RD., LA JOLLA CA 92037
Aron R. English	director, 10 percent owner	1455 NW LEARY WAY, SUITE 400, SEATTLE WA 98107
Kenneth Lin	director	PO BOX 1005, LOS ALTOS CA 94022
Karah Herdman Parschauer	director	60 LEVERONI COURT, NOVATO CA 94949
Joseph F. Lawler	director, 10 percent owner	2110 RANCH ROAD 620 S, #341732, LAKEWAY TX 78734
Areta Kupchyk	director	C/O ANEBULO PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1415 RANCH ROAD 620 SOUTH, SUITE 201, LAKEWAY TX 78734
Jason Aryeh	director	11119 NORTH TORREY PINES ROAD, SUITE 200, LA JOLLA CA 92037
22nw, Lp	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Response	590 1ST AVE S, UNIT C1, SEATTLE WA 98104