BASA (Basanite) Predictability Rank

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What is Basanite Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Basanite Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Basanite Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Building Materials » Basanite Inc (OTCPK:BASA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2041 NW 15th Avenue, Pompano Beach, FL, USA, 33069

Website

https://www.basaniteindustries.com

Basanite Inc is engaged in manufacturing basalt fiber-reinforced polymer products (BRP). It produces basalt fiber-reinforced polymer products that are used as replacements for steel products, which reinforce concrete, such as rebar. The company's product includes BasaFlex; BasaMix and BasaMesh.

Executives

Thomas Richmond	officer: CEO	2660 NW 15 CT, UNIT 108, POMPANO BEACH FL 33069
Lisa H Gainsborg	officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary	BASANITE, INC., 2041 NW 15TH AVENUE, POMPANO BEACH FL 33069
Sergio Salani	director	BASANITE, INC., 2041 NW 15TH AVENUE, POMPANO BEACH FL 33069
Manuel Antonio Rodriguez	director	7250 SW HARBOR COVE DR., STUART FL 34997
Tingberg Frederick Henry Jr	director	2005 SW AMARILLO LANE, PALM CITY FL 34990
Michael Vito Barbera	director	1423 SW 13TH DRIVE, BOCA RATON FL 33486
Loricco Ronald Joseph Sr.	director, 10 percent owner	28 DALES DR., WOODBRIDGE CT 06525
Adam Scott Falkoff	director	1390 CHAIN BRIDGE ROAD #630, MCLEAN VA 22101
Simon Richard Kay	officer: Interim Pres. & CEO	8001 NW 66TH TERRACE, PARKLAND FL 33067
Isabella Barbera	officer: Chief Financial Officer	13396 60TH STREET NORTH, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33411
Richard Michael Krolewski	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1018 ROANOKE DRIVE, WESTFIELD IN 46074
Gregory Guy Nadeau	director	1 CARRIER PLACE, LEWISTON ME 04240
Kelly James Patterson	director	11200 NE 182ND ST., BATTLE GROUND WA 98604
Gregory David Cline	director	169 WHITE OAK ROAD, FREDERICKSBURG VA 22405
Paul M. Sallarulo	director	2521 NE 48TH STREET, LIGHTHOUSE PT. FL 33064