BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Concrete Pumping Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Concrete Pumping Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Concrete Pumping Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Concrete Pumping Holdings Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc (NAS:BBCP) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

500 E. 84th Avenue, Suite A-5, Thornton, CO, USA, 80229

Website

https://www.concretepumpingholdings.com

Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc is a provider of concrete pumping services and concrete waste management services in the fragmented United States and United Kingdom markets. Its large fleet of specialized pumping equipment and trained operators position it to deliver concrete placement solutions. The company's operating segment includes U.S. Concrete Pumping; U.K. Operations; U.S. Concrete Waste Management Services and Corporate. It generates maximum revenue from the U.S. Concrete Pumping segment. Geographically, it generates majority of the revenue from its business in United States.

Executives

Stephen Alarcon	director	PENINSULA PACIFIC, LLC, 10250 CONSTELLATION BLVD., SUITE 2230, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Bruce F. Young	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Ryan Beres	director	ARGAND PARTNERS, 28 WEST 44TH STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Armstron Thomas K Jr	director	C/O TK INVESTMENTS LLC, 4908 WEST BRIAR DRIVE, FORT WORTH TX 76109
John M Piecuch	director	2925 BRIARPARK, SUITE 1050, HOUSTON TX 77042
Brent M Stevens	director, 10 percent owner	PO BOX 5239, KETCHUM ID 83340
Brown David A B	director
Matthew Homme	director	28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Brian Hodges	director	C/O INDUSTREA ACQUISITION CORP., 28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Argand Partners, Lp	10 percent owner	C/O INDUSTREA ACQUISITION CORP., 28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Owl Creek Sri Master Fund, Ltd.	10 percent owner	89 NEXUS WAY, 2ND FLOOR, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1205
Owl Creek Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Owl Creek I, L.p.	10 percent owner	640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Owl Creek Advisors, Llc	10 percent owner	640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jeffrey A Altman	10 percent owner	640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019