Bloomios (Bloomios) Predictability Rank

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What is Bloomios Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Bloomios Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Bloomios (Bloomios) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Bloomios Inc (OTCPK:BLMS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

701 Anacapa Street, Suite C, Santa Barbara, CA, USA, 93101

Website

https://www.bloomios.com

Bloomios Inc manufactures, markets, and distributes U.S. hemp-derived supplements and cosmetic products through wholesale distribution channels in the United States of America. It offers its private-label and white-label customers large collections of customizable hemp products that include over 80 products across 7 categories in addition to custom formulation and manufacturing services. Its product categories include edibles, tinctures, oils, salves, capsules, balms, lotions, creams, beverages, and pet treats.

Executives

Douglas S Rohrer	officer: Chief Business Officer	701 ANACAPA, SUITE C, SANTA BARBARA CA 93101
Emc2 Capital Llc	10 percent owner	201 W MONTECITO STREET, SANTA BARBARA CA 93101
Barrett Evans	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Pres, Chief Strategy Officer
Aline Hayuta Elkayam	10 percent owner	104 CHELSEA PLACE, ORMOND BEACH FL 32174
Bibi Daprile	10 percent owner	12 WINDING CREEK WAY, ORMOND BEACH FL 32174
Agpl Acquisition, Inc	10 percent owner	201 W MONTECITO ST., SANTA BARBARA CA 93101
Mammoth Crest Capital Llc	10 percent owner	1712 PIONEER AVE, SUITE 558, CHEYENNE WY 82001
Michael Hill	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	201 WEST MONTECITO STREET, SANTA BARBARA CA 93101
Bryan Glass	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Director	20 WEST PARK AVENUE, SUITE 207, LONG BEACH NY 11561
Douglas Boyd	director, officer: Chairman of the Board	8101 TIARA COVE CIR, LAS VEGAS NV 89128
Peter A Hogendoorn	director, officer: President & CEO	13288 AMBLE GREEN PLACE, SURREY A1 V4A 6P5
Harold C Moll	director, 10 percent owner
Van Laare Derek R	officer: Secretary	6119 GORDON AVENUE, BURNABY A1 V5E 3M2
Carlo Civelli	other: former director/officer/owner	111 SOMERSET ROAD, TRIPLE ONE SOMERSET 06-06, SINGAPORE U0 238164
Logan Anderson	director, officer: President & Treasurer	15 HILL CRESCENT, PEMBROKE BERMUDA D8 00000